####018005506#### FXUS63 KMPX 101815 AFDMPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 115 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Chance for frost/freeze in western WI this morning. - Scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday afternoon, best chance eastern MN to western WI. - Chance to see the northern lights tonight, mostly clear skies expected. - Temperatures in the 70s through the period with a chance at 80 on Sunday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 300 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Mostly clear skies are evident on Nighttime Microphysics satellite imagery this morning with a few areas of fog developing over south- central Minnesota. Fog is not expected to be a widespread issue and is mainly a symptom of week winds coupled with temperatures falling to dew points in the mid 40s where the fog is developing, with dew point depressions in the 5-10 degree range elsewhere. Another classic late Spring day is in store for us today with temperatures in the 70s under mostly sunny skies until a chance for a few showers and thunderstorms arrive by the afternoon from a weakening upper level trough centered over Ontario. Northwesterly flow aloft will allow for a transient shortwave to push across north-central Minnesota to western WI, with the best chance for seeing showers and a few thunderstorms in far eastern MN and western WI from roughly 1pm to 5pm this afternoon. A few severe storms are possible mainly for wind gusts spurred by a stronger shower or two with fairly weak instability in the 250-500 J/KG range per RAP forecast soundings over New Richmond WI with lower amounts west. The sounding profile is dry adiabatic at ground level with dew points being the primary limiting factor in regards to surface based convection with LCL heights above 3000ft as a result making for lower end strong thunderstorm potential. AVA on the western side of the trough will clear skies out by the evening with clear skies continuing through Saturday and for most of Sunday before our next chance for showers and storms arrives. The clear skies will also allow a chance to see the northern lights due to a geomagnetic storm caused by a series of CMEs. See the Space Weather Center's webpage for more specific details, the bottom line for us is a chance to see the northern lights much later in the season than is typical and right now skies look mostly clear at its peak tonight. Saturday appears to be a perfect day to open the windows and enjoy sunshine, low 70 high temperatures, and light winds at 5-10mph. Northwesterly flow aloft continues with troughing to the east and ridging to the west, with surface flow weak due to a lack of a dominant synoptic scale surface based system. Flow aloft turns more westerly by Sunday morning and a weak upper level trough occluding over the plains should allow for southerly flow to increase at ground level, with WAA coupled with sunny skies resulting in temperatures approaching 80 for a high on Sunday in the Twin Cities and upper 70s elsewhere. Sunday afternoon will also begin what looks to be a trend for much of next week, that being zonal flow aloft with embedded shortwave impulses allowing for sporadic shower and storm chances but nothing that looks strong or significant. Deterministic guidance is fairly consistent in showing a series of shortwaves moving through the upper midwest, however without greater instability or synoptic scale lift we are looking at isolated chances for stronger storms. It is not until later in the week towards next weekend where a stronger system begins to poke its head, arriving late Wednesday to early Thursday with a negatively tilting trough sweeping across the northern CONUS resulting in more widespread showers and chances for storms due to stronger forcing. The main question in regards to storm chances will be access to moisture which right now looks decent with PWAT values from 1-1.25 on Thursday, however the greater access to Gulf moisture looks to cutoff to the south likely resulting in stronger storms in the central plains. For now, expect a 'normal' late Spring to early Summer weather pattern with isolated to scattered weak storms for most of next week with a chance for more widespread rain on Thursday. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1258 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024 VFR conditions throughout. Main concern is the wind shift and gusty winds as a cold front moves through the region today. A few showers and possibly a thunderstorm is possible at KMSP, KRNH, and KEAU, but overall the threat for thunder has decreased. Wind gusts will taper off around sunset, with light westerly winds expected on Saturday. KMSP...The chance for thunder has decreased at KMSP, so only have VCSH in the TAF. Any rain showers will be scattered, so unlikely to affect KMSP. Winds will transition to the northwest this afternoon, with gusts near 30 kts possible. The winds will decrease toward evening and become more westerly for Saturday. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind SW 10-15G25kts BCMG N 10-15kts. MON...VFR. Wind NNE 10-15kts. TUE...VFR. Wind E at 5-10kts && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...None. WI...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...TDH AVIATION...JRB ####018005985#### FXUS66 KPQR 101816 AFDPQR Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Portland OR 1115 AM PDT Fri May 10 2024 .SYNOPSIS...A large eastward tilted ridge of high pressure will remain overhead through early this weekend, bringing dry weather and rapidly warming temperatures. Inland valley temperatures are expected to reach the upper 80s to low 90s today and Saturday - could see some record breaking highs in urban areas. Saturday night into Sunday, winds will shift from offshore to onshore flow, bringing cool yet still above seasonal norm temperatures into early next week. && .SHORT TERM...Now through Sunday...Ridging centered well off the PNW coast will remain in control into the weekend. The axis runs southwest to northeast into southern BC but will slip south into WA/OR through today as a trough moves eastward across the Gulf of AK. An inverted surface trough axis along the Coast Range will drift toward the Willamette Valley this afternoon. Winds remain offshore across the Coast Range and Cascades and northerly through the interior valley. With the combination of the ridge moving directly overhead and the surface trough peaking this afternoon, expect today's highs to be warmer than yesterday. There is a 50-80% and a 30-60% chance for temperatures to exceed 90 degrees today and Saturday, respectively, however it looks to be mostly focused on the Portland/Vancouver Metro and areas surrounding. Other inland urban areas, such as Salem/Corvallis/Eugene, have a 10-20% chance to exceed 90 degrees today and Saturday. There is more uncertainty for temperatures at the coast, as some model guidance is suggesting that the ridge will shift inland Saturday, leading to onshore flow moderating and cooling temperatures. As a result, expect upper 70s to low 80s today with a 50-70% chance to exceed 80 degrees F, decreasing to upper 60s to low 70s on Saturday. Widespread cooling is expected Sunday as the upper-level shortwave trough moves towards the coast, weakening the inverted thermal trough overhead and pushing it eastward. With such unseasonably warm temperatures for early Spring and coming out of cold weather, there is no doubt people will visit rivers, lakes, and the ocean for SW Washington and NW Oregon this weekend. It is important to remember that rivers and lakes remain dangerously cold with water temperatures mainly in the 40s. Such temperatures can easily cause cold water shock for those without proper cold water gear, resulting in an involuntary gasp of air that can lead to drowning. Be sure to bring a life vest and be extremely cautious around rivers, especially with snowmelt causing cold and swift currents! -Batz/JH .LONG TERM...Monday through Thursday...The trough will continue eastward over the Cascades on Monday, supporting continued westerly onshore flow will return, dropping temperatures across the interior valley into the low 70s and into the upper 50s to low 60s along the coast. The marine layer will likely remain too shallow for much in the way of morning cloudiness inland through Sunday, but the upper ridge may weaken enough for some low clouds to push into the inland valleys for a few hours Monday morning. Cannot rule out patchy light drizzle at the north coast Monday morning as well, especially given the weak upper-level shortwave progressing overhead providing some added support just north of our CWA. WPC cluster analysis is beginning to move more towards a solution favoring ridging re-developing by the middle of next week. Around 80% of ensemble members display relatively strong ridging by Wednesday next week, allowing temperatures to climb a degree or two through Thursday. Still around a 20% chance of another trough developing, which would bring more seasonable temperatures and light rain showers back to the area. -Batz/JH/Schuldt && .AVIATION...High pressure and dry northeasterly flow aloft will maintain clear skies and VFR conditions through the day. Light offshore flow along the coast will turn onshore early afternoon becoming northwest around 10 kt. Light northerly winds expected through the Willamette Valley. By early Saturday morning, marine stratus begins to push toward the coast. There is still high uncertainty when or if the stratus will push onshore at the coastal terminals, but if it does, would expect IFR to LIFR conditions there sometime after 10Z Saturday. PDX AND APPROACHES...VFR as high pressure with clear skies persists. Generally northwest winds below 8 kt expected. /DH && .MARINE...High pressure still anchored well offshore, as well as well inland. Meanwhile, thermal trough sits along the coastline. As such, will maintain light east to northeast winds close to shore, with north winds as move farther offshore. Still gusty on the outer waters south of Newport, with north winds gusting 20 to 25 kt. As such, will extend Small Craft Advisory til 8 am today. Thermal trough will gradually shift farther inland today and tonight. But, at same time, pressure gradient will stay somewhat weak. So, will maintain north winds on the waters tonight and Sat, mostly at 10 to 15 kt, with gusts to 20 kt. Seas stay in the 5 to 7 ft range. Little change for Sunday into early next week, as high pressure remains anchored well offshore, and lower pressure well inland. As such, will maintain north to northwest winds on the coastal waters. Could see gusts 20 to 25 kt at times in afternoons and evenings. Seas remain mostly at 5 to 7 ft. && .PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. PZ...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/portland Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland www.twitter.com/NWSPortland ####018003172#### FZPQ50 PGUM 101817 SRFGUM Surf Zone Forecast for the Mariana Islands National Weather Service Tiyan GU 417 AM ChST Sat May 11 2024 .SYNOPSIS...A moderate risk of rip currents continues along east facing reefs with a low risk expected along other reefs. $$ GUZ001-MPZ001>003-110930- Guam-Rota-Tinian-Saipan- 417 AM ChST Sat May 11 2024 36 hour Surf Zone Forecast for the Marianas from 600 AM Saturday through 600 PM Sunday .TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY (6 AM TO 6 PM SUNDAY)... Rip current risk.....Moderate *. Surf Height North facing reefs............2 to 4 feet. East facing reefs............5 to 7 feet. South facing reefs............1 to 3 feet. West facing reefs............2 to 3 feet. Swell/Period Primary swell................East at 4 to 5 feet. Primary period...............8 seconds. Water temperature Satellite estimates..........83 to 84 Degrees. Maximum afternoon heat index...........Around 102. Coastal Winds............East at 10 to 20 mph. .OUTLOOK...Surf may increase by about a foot early next week as the easterly swell increases slightly. This will keep the risk of rip currents moderate along east facing reefs through the next several days. Tide information for the next 36 hours... At Apra Harbor, Guam... Low tide 1.7 feet at 4:02 AM Saturday High tide 2.4 feet at 8:32 AM Saturday Low tide -0.4 feet at 4:07 PM Saturday High tide 2.5 feet at 11:43 PM Saturday Low tide 1.8 feet at 4:59 AM Sunday High tide 2.3 feet at 9:12 AM Sunday Low tide -0.2 feet at 4:55 PM Sunday At Rota Island... Low tide 1.6 feet at 3:56 AM Saturday High tide 2.3 feet at 8:29 AM Saturday Low tide -0.4 feet at 4:01 PM Saturday High tide 2.3 feet at 11:40 PM Saturday Low tide 1.7 feet at 4:53 AM Sunday High tide 2.2 feet at 9:09 AM Sunday Low tide -0.2 feet at 4:49 PM Sunday At Tinian Island... Low tide 1.5 feet at 3:25 AM Saturday High tide 1.9 feet at 7:33 AM Saturday Low tide -0.3 feet at 3:47 PM Saturday High tide 1.8 feet at 11:58 PM Saturday Low tide 1.5 feet at 4:29 AM Sunday High tide 1.8 feet at 8:12 AM Sunday Low tide -0.2 feet at 4:37 PM Sunday At Tanapag Harbor, Saipan... Low tide 1.8 feet at 4:20 AM Saturday High tide 2.1 feet at 8:17 AM Saturday Low tide -0.5 feet at 4:11 PM Saturday High tide 2.4 feet at 12:21 AM Sunday Low tide 1.8 feet at 5:42 AM Sunday High tide 1.9 feet at 8:50 AM Sunday Low tide -0.3 feet at 5:01 PM Sunday * Low Risk of rip currents - Strong currents can still occur near jetties and reef channels. Always have a flotation device with you in the water. Moderate Risk of rip currents - Wave conditions support stronger or more frequent rip currents. Always have a flotation device with you in the water. High Risk of rip currents - Large waves will produce strong rip currents, especially along narrow reefs and beaches. If caught in a rip current, swim parallel to the beach rather than against the current. $$ ####018007939#### FXUS61 KRLX 101818 AFDRLX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 218 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Cooler weather into the weekend. The chance for rain showers again Saturday afternoon as an upper level system crosses. Temperatures will climb to average or above starting Monday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 215 PM Friday... Drier air associated with high pressure was allowing clearing to slowly edge through the middle Ohio Valley this afternoon, while clouds and showers persisted farther east. Improvement should continue into tonight, with the showers ending as a mid-upper level short wave trough exits by sunset. Clearing and light wind tonight per high pressure ridging into the area from the southwest will allow areas of valley fog to form, but there may also be enough residual low level moisture for low clouds to form before dawn Saturday. Either or should dissipate after daybreak Saturday. Clearing tonight may allow night owls to catch some aurora activity if they head away from city lights to somewhere with a clear view of the northern sky. Head to the Space Weather Prediction Center's website for more info on the G4 Geomagnetic Storm Watch: swpc.noaa.gov. Another mid-upper level short wave trough is likely to bring a band of showers across the area from west to east on Saturday. Thunderstorms are also possible Saturday afternoon as the atmosphere destabilizes per mid level cooling in concert with daytime heating. A mid level inversion should be just high enough for cells to grow tall enough for charge separation, and even small hail per dry entrainment, which will also promote gusty winds. Echo top temperatures should lower into the -20s C at least across the north. Central guidance reflects surface temperatures modestly below normal. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 245 AM Friday... Starting Saturday, a clipper type system will approach from the northwest and spread chances for showers and storms into the area by the afternoon. The associated surface low will be forecast to stay just north of the area and rotate toward the east with upper level support sustaining it through the rest of the day. The feature will likely drag a weak cold frontal boundary through which will promote greater chances of shower and storm activity for the late afternoon and evening. By nightfall, the feature will likely pass east away from the area and cut off most of the moisture flux, however a few lingering showers in the northeast mountains are possible for Sunday morning. Thereafter, a surface high pressure system builds in along with weak upper level ridging to reinforce mainly settled weather for the rest of Sunday. More good news may come to fruition as high pressure sustains the calm weather through most of Monday although another system is forecast to approach the area and promote chances for precipitation and thunderstorms by the evening across the western flank of our CWA, spreading into the rest of the area by late evening. Temperatures will remain cooler than normal for this period and then starting Monday we climb back to normal or above through the next period. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 245 AM Friday... The aforementioned system which would develop over the midwest will gain momentum and start spreading chances for showers and storms into the area directly perpendicular to us. Activity will start off in the easter sector of the surface low and then as the low shifts eastward it will pass directly over the area and kick out by Wednesday morning. This track will provide opportunities for non-diurnal thunderstorms as well until the low exits. The lows upper level trough support will lag behind and create some lingering precipitation opportunities well into Wednesday until high pressure slides in from the west by Thursday morning. Due to the GFS and EURO being in full sync with the Canadian not too far behind decided to accept central guidance which equated to chances for both days in the form of shower and storm activity. Most of the storm activity will be diurnal in nature so limited thunderstorm potential outside of the afternoons. Bountiful high pressure as a weak surface high and a strong upper level ridge is forecast to build in for Thursday, but the break will be short lived with another system forecast to originate over Texas and will shift north and take a direct flight across the Midwest. This will spread chance of showers and diurnal storms Thursday evening and through Friday. At this point models diverge greatly and felt obligated to accept a blended model solution for the rest of this period which equated to carrying chances for showers and diurnal storm potential through the rest of Thursday and Friday. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 215 PM Friday... IFR to low MVFR conditions in the mountains and MVFR conditions at CRW and HTS will gradually improve this afternoon while CKB and PKB should remain VFR. Scattered showers east of the Ohio River may also interrupt improvement with brief MVFR conditions, before dissipating late today. Clearing edging southeastward through the middle Ohio Valley this afternoon will continue across the remainder of the area tonight. This will allow valley fog to form east of the Ohio River, which could lower to IFR. However, low clouds could form with IFR to MVFR ceilings, interrupting the fog. Either or should dissipate after daybreak Saturday, allowing VFR conditions. However, an upper level system is likely to bring showers into the area later Saturday morning, with thunder also possible near or just beyond the end of the TAF period Saturday afternoon. Northwest surface flow, gusty here and there this afternoon, will become calm to light and variable tonight, and then west southwest on Saturday, becoming gusty late Saturday morning. Light north to northwest flow aloft through tonight will become light to moderate southwest on Saturday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of ceiling and visibility restrictions may vary from forecast. Timing and extent of fog or low stratus tonight may vary from forecast. Winds will fluctuate this afternoon and Saturday. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 EDT 1HRLY 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H M H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H M H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H M H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H M H H H H M H H H H H AFTER 18Z SATURDAY... No widespread IFR conditions expected currently. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...FK/TRM/JZ NEAR TERM...TRM SHORT TERM...JZ LONG TERM...JZ AVIATION...TRM ####018007827#### FXUS61 KOKX 101818 AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 218 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure systems moves south of the area today, and further south and offshore tonight. A weak low approaches Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure returns on Monday before moving offshore into Tuesday. Another low may impact the region during the middle of next week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... Gloomy end to the workweek with a strung out wave of low pressure passing off the Mid Atlantic coast. Intermittent periods of rain, mostly light, persist much of the day. Expanding coverage this afternoon as the trough axis moves through, before conditions begin to dry out this evening. Rain should taper everywhere by midnight or just before. Additional QPF total perhaps up to a quarter inch. With the rain, clouds, and onshore wind, temperatures run a good 10 to 15 degrees below normal for early to mid May. A few places in SE CT may approach 60 where rain will be minimized, but otherwise low to mid 50s can be expected elsewhere. An east breeze will be noticeable along the coast, adding to the chill. Surface high pressure briefly returns in its wake and cloud cover diminishes considerably overnight, perhaps even becoming clear toward daybreak Saturday. Temperatures will get a few degrees below normal tonight, looks for lows to mainly be in the lower and middle 40s, with upper 40s in the metro. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... The weekend should start off dry and rather pleasant, albeit a bit cool through at least the early afternoon on Saturday. Temperatures will average a bit below normal with an onshore wind off the colder ocean. Most places should get into the lower and middle 60s for daytime maxes. Getting closer to evening look for clouds to begin to increase from the west with an introduction of slight chance of showers across far western sections before day's end. For Saturday night look for a good deal of clouds further west, with more clouds getting further east as the night progresses. Went with consensus guidance with respect to PoPs with chance to slight chance PoPs from west to east. With the light onshore flow continuing ahead of a weakening frontal boundary look for temperatures to be a few degrees below normal with lows around 45 to 50. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... A shortwave will begin to exit Sunday morning. Low pressure may pass offshore ahead of the shortwave with another weaker low hanging back over the northeast. There is some question surrounding how much surface ridging lingers over New England, which may keep higher probabilities of showers across the western half of the area. The atmosphere is stable so will just mention showers. Highs will primarily be in the mid/upper-50s. There is good agreement among the deterministic and ensemble guidance for the trough to shift offshore Monday. A relatively flat ridge should settle over the northeast Monday, but may also linger into a portion of Tuesday, leading to a dry stretch with increased sunshine. With an approaching low to the west and an exiting high to the east Monday evening/night, south winds could become breezy with most 00Z showing a 35-45kt LLJ developing, likely aided by a southern stream upper-level jet shifting northward over the area. Models have come into better agreement on a southern stream shortwave that moves out of the Plains Tuesday and tracks towards the east coast the middle of next week. An associated frontal system/low pressure should evolve somewhere near the Middle Atlantic. Based on the timing from 00Z guidance it appears the low passing to our south will give us the best chance of rain early Wednesday. High pressure gradually builds in, afterwards. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Weak high pressure builds in from the northeast this afternoon and tonight and remains over the Northeast through Saturday. Conditions are improving over eastern terminals as clouds are scattering out there. Expect improvement to continue from northeast to southwest, with a forecast return to VFR by 21Z or sooner. Showers are also still possible, but they are expected to be light and have no impact to visibility, dissipating as they head into the high pressure. East winds increase to around 10-15 kt. Gusts for the most part are more occasional to around 20 kt. Winds shift more NE this evening into tonight, then back to the E Saturday morning before sea breezes affect the terminals. ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... Conditions becoming VFR this afternoon, possibly a few hours earlier than is forecast. OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... Saturday: VFR. SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Sunday: Chance of MVFR or lower in showers. Monday: Mainly VFR. Isolated showers possible at KSWF. Tuesday: MVFR or lower in showers and t-storms. SW G15-20kt. Wednesday: MVFR or lower in showers and t-storms. Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90 && .MARINE... Small craft conditions across all waters today with gusts at 25 to 30 kt. For tonight sub small craft conditions should return to the non ocean waters, with small craft seas likely remaining on the ocean for the majority of tonight. Sub small craft conditions are expected with seas closer to 4 ft on the ocean for much of this weekend. South winds may increase Monday evening/early Tuesday, but currently keeping ocean waters just below 25 kt gusts. Ocean waters may briefly reach 5 feet during this time frame. && .HYDROLOGY... There are no hydrologic concerns throughout the forecast period. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... Minor coastal flooding continues Friday night, but coverage will be less than last night. Have maintained coastal flood advisories for the western south shore bays of Southern Nassau and Southern Queens, along with Southern Fairfield and Southern Westchester. Have chosen based on latest trends from taking an average of Stevens, ETSS, and ESTOFS to downgrade advisories to statements for Southern Brooklyn, Staten Island, and NE NJ coastal zones. Statements which were previously in effect for Southern Suffolk, NW Suffolk, Northern Nassau and Northern Queens have been discontinued as water levels have trended down and are no longer expected to meet minor benchmarks. Saturday night may see one more night where minor benchmarks could be approached for Southern Nassau and Southern Queens, otherwise this latest round of minor coastal flooding should completely come to an end later in the weekend. && .OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM EDT Saturday for CTZ009. NY...Coastal Flood Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM EDT Saturday for NYZ071. Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 1 AM EDT Saturday for NYZ178-179. NJ...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ331- 332-335-340. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ338- 345. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353- 355. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JE/BR NEAR TERM...DR SHORT TERM...JE/BR LONG TERM...BR AVIATION...JP MARINE...JE/BR HYDROLOGY...JE/BR TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...