####018002378#### FXUS63 KOAX 280409 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1109 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry weather is expected through the week with warming into the 70s by Friday. - Chances (40-70%)for precipitation return to the region late this weekend into early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 329 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 Cool surface high pressure continues to slowly shift east of the region this afternoon. A persistent stratus deck continues to diminish leaving mostly sunny skies across the area this afternoon. Mid-afternoon temperatures were mostly in the 30s with a few mid to low 40s where southwesterly winds have allowed temperatures to mix out a bit. The cold airmass responsible for our recent below- normal temperatures has finally moved northeast of the region and will be replaced with an upper ridge building into the central CONUS later this week. This will advect much warmer air into the region with highs on Thursday topping out in the 60s and possibly into the low 70s by Friday. A weak shortwave and cold front will pass through the region Friday bringing a slight chance (less than 20%)for a few showers Friday night-Saturday. Our next widespread chance for precipitation arrives late Sunday and continues into early next week as an upper trough moves across the central Plains. There remain some discrepancies with deterministic models in regards to precipitation types and timing. We maintained model blended PoPs and precipitation types. Will continue to monitor trends over the coming days. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1105 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 Clear skies and light southerly winds under 10 knots are expected to prevail at all TAF sites for the duration of the forecast period. The fog/low stratus signal in short term guidance has diminished. Potential for this still exists in parts of north-central Nebraska, but it is looking more likely that any fog/low stratus that develops will remain north and west of KOFK. Nonetheless will continue monitoring for TAF amendments where needed. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Kern AVIATION...Darrah