####018009883#### FXUS64 KHGX 131131 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 531 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Another round of dense fog, both inland and marine, expected tonight into Saturday morning. Dense Fog Advisories are in effect. - Fairly strong cold front, and associated scattered showers/storms in advance, will pass through Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Near to below freezing temperatures expected north of I-10 Sunday night into Monday morning. - Warming trend going into the middle of next week with temperatures back into the 70s by Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1146 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025 As a result, a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect through Saturday morning. Woah...even the first sentence has been obscured by the fog! Speaking of that, visibilities began to decrease as early as 8pm with Angleton reporting in quarter-mile visibility just before 8:30pm. On top of the elevated low level moisture and light winds overnight, there were a few scattered showers earlier this afternoon south of I-10. This typically results in even more favorable environment for dense fog. The fog is expected to be at its most dense in the few hours leading up to sunrise and an hour or so afterwards (generally 4am- 8am). If you have plans to hit the roadway on Saturday morning, be sure to take extra precautions to travel safely. Moisture continues to increase as onshore flow persists along with convergence along an approaching cold front leading to continuous chances for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Shower/storm chances will be at their highest as the cold front pushes through Southeast Texas. Additionally, another round of dense fog is likely Saturday night into early Sunday morning until the front pushes through. The general timeframe for FROPA looks to be entering the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods around midnight (early Sunday morning) and near the coast or offshore by sunrise. Once the front pushes offshore, our attention shifts from the fog and the rain to cold temperatures. Saturday's high temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s and that'll follow a typical diurnal pattern. Sunday, on the other hand, will be where the high temperature occurs before sunrise for most locations due to the passage of the cold front. Temperatures will hover around the mid 50s to low 60s throughout the day on Sunday along with breezy northeasterly winds...so your weather app showing a high temperature in the mid to upper 60s will be a bit misleading. Our attention then turns to Sunday night into Monday morning where near to below freezing temperatures are anticipated across most of Southeast Texas. Low temperatures will range from the upper 20s to mid 30s across the area. Houston County (not the city) could flirt with a brief hard freeze. For what it's worth, deterministic model guidance came in a little bit colder and brings below freezing temperatures down to northern portions of Harris County. The big question is will we see freezing temperatures in the Houston metro area. The answer is...maybe! The latest NBM probabilities reflect a 30-45% probability for below freezing temperatures in the City of Houston. Either way, it's going to be cold, so be sure to take the proper precautions to keep yourselves and your loved ones safe. Remember to protect the four P's: People, Pets, Plants, Pipes (Pipes: mainly for those in the Piney Woods). Freeze Warnings (for counties that haven't had their seasonal Freeze Warning yet) are likely, and we'll at least be near Cold Weather Advisory territory with wind chill values ranging from the low to upper 20s across the area. High temperatures on Monday will only top out in the low to mid 50s. Monday will be mostly sunny, but cloud cover is expected to gradually increase from west to east late in the day as PVA increases along with increasing low level moisture. Onshore flow fully returns by Tuesday, which takes us on a warming trend through the end of the work week. High temperatures look to reach back into the 70s by Wednesday and we could be flirting with highs in the 80s on Thursday. From one extreme to the other in just a few days...that's the Southeast Texas way! Rain chances return around midweek as well as a shortwave trough pushes through the area. This may also result in another FROPA towards the end of the work week, but it's way too early to lock it in. Very Early Christmas Outlook ---------------------------- Christmas is less than two weeks away and I'm sure some of you have already seen what the long range model guidance trend has been indicating for weather in Southeast Texas. Santa...you'll want to listen in on this too! The Climate Prediction Center's 8-14 day temperature outlook was updated today (or yesterday depending on when you're reading this) which is valid for December 20-26. It shows a LOT of red across the CONUS and would you believe it that the reddest of the reds is right over Southeast Texas?! That means that there's a greater than 90% probability of above normal temperatures for this period...which just so happens to include Christmas Eve/Day. Normal temperatures for this time of year is high temperatures in the low 60s and low temperatures in the low 40s...so there's a 90+% probability that our temperatures will be above that. Naturally your next question will be, well just how warm will it be? My answer is...I don't know! It's way too early to know exactly what the temperatures will be, but this time next week we'll at least have a general idea. The most prominent colors are red and green. We have the red for very likely above normal temperatures, but do we have the green to go along with it on the precipitation outlook? Survey says....nope. How does a nice tan sound? Maybe if you look at it long enough it can kind of pass as gold...but yes Southeast Texas has slightly higher probabilities of seeing below normal precipitation for the week of Christmas. This probability is only ~37%, so there's still ~30% probabilities of seeing near normal to above normal precipitation. Long story short, this one's quite a bit more uncertain than the temperature outlook. I had been wishing for a repeat of the Christmas miracle of 2004, but sadly the chances of a white Christmas in Southeast TX are slim to none. I mean we could still have fog, but it's not the same :( TL;DR: Christmas is very likely to feature above normal temperatures. Batiste && .AVIATION... (12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 505 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Widespread IFR to LIFR conditions are being seen north of I-10 this morning with fog bringing visibility down to 1/2mi or less with CIGs below 500ft. Areas south of I-10 are MVFR to VFR with occasional periods of dense fog bringing conditions down to IFR. The fog should dissipate by the mid-morning with VFR conditions prevailing through this evening with south-southeasterly winds around 5-9kt. Isolated showers will be possible this morning with increasing coverage (and an isolated thunderstorm) expected this afternoon. A cold front will move through the region tonight, bringing another round of showers ahead of and along the front itself. Winds will become light/variable for a few hours ahead of the FROPA, which combined with the high moisture will lead to the redevelopment of dense fog returning late this evening into tonight. Once the front pushes through, winds will turn northerly but lingering fog and low CIGs (down to 500-700ft) will persist through Sunday morning. FROPA will occur at CLL around 5-7z, IAH between 8-10z, and then off the coast by 9-12z. Breezy north- northeasterly winds are expected to prevail through the afternoon on Sunday with gradually clearing skies. Fowler && .MARINE... Issued at 1146 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025 The initial marine concern will be reduced visibility due to sea fog and inland fog spilling into the upper bays. Model guidance indicated the potential for widespread dense fog overnight into Saturday morning followed by another round Saturday night into early Sunday morning until a cold front pushes through. Outside of the fog, light southeasterly winds, 1-3 ft seas, and chances for scattered showers are expected through Saturday night. The cold front looks to be near or off the coast by sunrise on Sunday morning with strong northeasterly winds and elevated seas in its wake through Monday morning. Gale force gusts will be possible over the Gulf waters throughout the day on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories will be needed Sunday morning through Monday morning, and we'll continue to monitor model trends for any abnormally low water potential in the bays. Winds and seas gradually subside throughout the day on Monday with onshore flow returning Monday night. Batiste && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 75 51 57 31 / 20 30 0 0 Houston (IAH) 76 56 63 33 / 30 40 10 0 Galveston (GLS) 73 58 65 39 / 20 60 30 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ163-164- 176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338- 436>439. GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for GMZ330-335. && $$ DISCUSSION...Batiste AVIATION...Fowler MARINE...Batiste ####018005547#### FXUS63 KLBF 131132 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 532 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Additional snowfall is expected across portions of north central Nebraska this morning. Additional accumulation up to one inch is possible. - Cold temperatures are expected tonight, with lows ranging from the teens to the near zero. Widespread wind chill values below zero are expected, with coldest wind chills across north central Nebraska. - Above average temperatures return early week, with daily highs in the 50s and 60s through mid week. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 334 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 A low pressure system over northeastern Colorado continues to produce light snowfall across portions of north central Nebraska and southeast South Dakota. The more organized bands of snow remain north of the state border, with the edges of the snow clipping portions of northern Nebraska. These snow showers are expected to last through late morning, with new accumulations up to one inch possible. Further south across the Sandhills and southwest Nebraska, ongoing fog and subfreezing temperatures are leading to areas of a freezing fog to a light freezing drizzle. This is creating a light glaze of ice, especially on elevated surfaces. These conditions are expected to last until shortly after sunrise. However, those with morning travel plans should be prepared for slippery and potentially hazardous travel conditions. Through the afternoon, high pressure begins to track over the region, which will help limit additional snowfall and settle the region into a drier weather pattern. Skies remain mostly overcast today across the region, though some slight clearing may occur by late afternoon across portions of western Nebraska. As for daytime highs, a fairly notable gradient is expected across the region today. Highs across portions of southwest Nebraska are expected to push into the low 40s, with highs in north central Nebraska struggling to reach the teens. Tonight, as the high pressure builds in from the north, cooler temperatures will continue to spill across the region. Overnight lows range from the teens across portions of southwest Nebraska, but across north central Nebraska, overnight lows are expected to be in the single digits to below zero. These colder temperatures combined with a light, yet persistent, wind will lead to subzero wind chills across most of western and north central Nebraska. Coldest wind chills are expected across north central Nebraska, where wind chills are expected to range between 10 to 15 degrees below zero. Upper level ridging then begins to track over the region Sunday afternoon, which will help usher the return of warmer temperatures. Again, a fairly sharp gradient is expected across the region, with highs ranging from the 40s across western Nebraska to the high 20s across north central Nebraska. However, with mostly clear conditions and near freezing temperatures the fresh snowpack should begin to see some melting by Sunday afternoon. As for Sunday night, temperatures again fall below freezing, with widespread lows int eh 20s across the region. For areas that do see some snowmelt, any wet surfaces will refreeze, so be sure to keep an eye out for potentially slippery spots. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 334 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Upper level ridging becomes established across the region by Monday. Additionally, a warm front is expected to track across the region Monday morning, which will bring the return of above average highs to the region. Highs Monday are expected to range from the upper 40s to upper 50s. This warmer drier pattern persists through at least mid week, with highs Tuesday and Wednesday expected to reach the 50s and 60s across western and north central Nebraska. For reference, typical daytime highs this time of year are around 41 to 42 degrees. As a cold front tracks through portions of the region Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, a slight chance of snow showers may occur across northwestern Nebraska, mostly along Pine Ridge. This front will also bring some cooler temperatures on Thursday afternoon, with highs in the 40s. However, temperatures are expected to rebound into the 50s again by Friday. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 531 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Wintry conditions are expected to persist across western and north central Nebraska through this morning, with conditions improving by noon. Across north central Nebraska, this will be in the form of light snow showers, and across the Sandhills and southwest Nebraska these impacts come in the form of light freezing drizzle. Along with these conditions, ceilings are currently IFR to LIFR across most of the region. Stratus is expected to remain across the region for most of the day, with potential for a return to VFR conditions by late afternoon into the evening. Overnight, VFR conditions are expected to prevail, with higher ceilings and light and variable winds. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for NEZ007. && $$ SHORT TERM...Richie LONG TERM...Richie AVIATION...Richie ####018003348#### FXUS63 KSGF 131132 AFDSGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 532 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Drizzle and freezing drizzle added to the forecast today. Freezing drizzle is most likely across central Missouri and the Eastern Ozark. Glaze of ice possible on untreated surfaces. - Much colder conditions later today into early Monday. Coldest time period is tonight into Sunday with minimum wind chill values of -10F to 0F (coldest over central Missouri). - Mainly dry next week, with a warm-up starting Monday. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 158 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Changes to the forecast with this update: - Reduced high temperatures by several degrees today due to persistent low level moisture and cloud cover. Highs are now forecast to range from 30F (central MO) to 45F (near the MO/AR border). - Added drizzle and freezing drizzle to the forecast today as models have been trended toward greater moisture below the strong inversion in place. All drizzle parameters are being met in models mainly from areas of central MO through the Ozarks Plateau, prompting patchy to areas of drizzle in the official forecast. Timing for drizzle will be from early morning through the afternoon, earliest across central MO then spreading south. The overlap of drizzle and sub- freezing temperatures will exist for areas roughly along and northeast of a line from Fort Scott, KS to Bolivar, Hartville, Houston, and Eminence in Missouri. A glaze of ice will be possible on untreated surfaces. Will continue to monitor if a Winter Weather Advisory is needed, but have opted not to issue one at this time given uncertainty on exact amounts and impacts. Otherwise the forecast for much colder temperatures and wind chills around -10F to 0F tonight into Sunday morning is on track with really no substantive changes. Still not meeting Advisory criteria for wind chills, so will not be issuing and headlines for the cold. Highs Sunday will be in the 20s in most places, clouds clearing out and winds becoming light through the day. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 158 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Sunday night into Monday morning will be cold with lows of 10-20F and minimum wind chills of 0-15F, coldest east, but a warming trend will certainly be noticed through the day Monday with highs in the 40s. The reason for the warming trend is the transition into a zonal flow pattern that brings the warm western CONUS airmass east. Look for highs in the 50s Tuesday, around 60 Wednesday, back in the 50s Thursday (with a 15-30% chance of rain east of Highway 65), and the low to mid 50s Friday. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 530 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 IFR conditions will gradually give way to MVFR ceilings today, then eventually VFR toward the end of the day. Light drizzle is possible at all TAF sites from mid morning into the afternoon and early evening. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Titus LONG TERM...Titus AVIATION...Titus ####018003365#### FXUS64 KEWX 131132 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 532 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Dense fog expected for much of South Central Texas Saturday morning. - Temperature roller coaster continues through the next week. - Low to medium chance for rain from Saturday through Sunday morning. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday) Issued at 1221 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 The weekend will be characterized by two different seasons, Spring- like weather on Saturday with highs in the 70s followed by Winter- like temperatures on Sunday with highs in the upper 40s north and 50s to lower 60s elsewhere. After morning dense fog across most of the region Saturday, it should give way to partly to mostly sunny skies and pleasant weather. A quick change is on the way though late tonight into early Sunday. A backdoor cold front will bring gusty winds and a chance at rain Saturday afternoon through Saturday night, followed by much cooler temperatures for the back half of the weekend. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 1221 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Cooler temperatures continue Monday and Tuesday behind the cold front, followed by a rapid warm up and temperatures back well above normal temperatures Wednesday and beyond. A combination of westerly/zonal flow aloft, south to southwesterly flow from the surface to 700mb, and a lack of recent rainfall, temperatures will have no trouble warming into the 70s to lower 80s. The forecast remains warm and dry with little to no rain in the foreseeable future... && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 532 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Flying conditions range from VLIFR to IFR early this morning. Due to SHRA near the I-35 sites, have upgraded VSBYs to TEMPOs 1-3SM BR with VCSH mention. Conditions will improve to MVFR by midday and VFR early in the afternoon as SHRA dissipate. MVFR CIGs return late this evening into the overnight hours. Light and mainly VRBL winds less than 7 KTs continue through this evening, then winds become northerly and increase to 10 to 20 KTs with a few gusts to 30 KTs in wake of a cold frontal passage overnight into Sunday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 74 45 53 33 / 20 20 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 74 46 54 32 / 20 20 10 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 75 48 56 35 / 20 20 10 0 Burnet Muni Airport 72 40 48 31 / 10 20 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 76 52 60 45 / 0 0 20 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 72 43 52 30 / 20 20 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 77 52 61 39 / 10 10 10 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 75 47 56 33 / 30 20 10 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 76 50 58 33 / 30 20 10 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 76 51 58 38 / 20 20 10 0 Stinson Muni Airport 77 54 60 40 / 20 20 10 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ171>173- 183>194-202>209-217>225-228. && $$ SHORT TERM...MMM LONG TERM....MMM AVIATION...04 ####018003690#### FXUS64 KSJT 131134 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 534 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Temperatures will be well-above normal for highs Today for most of our area. - Stronger Cold frontal passage tonight with gusty winds and colder temperatures Sunday. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 124 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Low clouds with patchy areas of fog, from Junction to Mason to San Saba early this morning, were advecting northwestward into a dissipating cold front. A dense fog advisory is in effect until 9 AM for the I-10 corridor and NW Hill Country, and depending on the extent of the fog, may need to add Mcculloch and San Saba counties. Fog should dissipate mid morning. Highs are expected in the lower to mid 70s. A strong cold front will move in tonight. North winds initially won't be strong, but become breezy a few hours after passage. Winds at Abilene for example will shift north at 5 to 10 mph around 7 PM, then become breezy 15 to 25 mph after 10 PM. Breezy north winds continue Sunday morning, with wind chills in the teens and 20s in the Big Country Sunday morning. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 1232 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 A cold front will move through West Central Texas Saturday night into Sunday morning. A cold day is expected across the area on Sunday, with gusty north winds and mostly cloudy to cloudy skies across the southern half of the area. Highs will be in the 40s for most locations, except across the I-10 corridor where highs will be near 50. Although winds will become light Sunday night into Monday morning, increasing cloud cover will help to keep temperatures from dropping significantly. The coldest temperatures are forecast across the Big Country, where mostly clear skies are expected through much of the night, with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Farther south, expect overnight lows in the low to mid 30s for most locations. Mostly cloudy to cloudy skies on Monday will result in a cool day with highs in the low to mid 60s, although I wouldn't be surprised if some areas stay in the 50s all day. A steady warm up expected through much of the rest of the work week, with highs on Tuesday in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs for the rest of the week will be in the 70s, with overnight lows in the 40s and 50s. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 528 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Stratus with IFR to MVFR ceilings and visibilities in fog has spread north to KSJT and KABI this morning. While MVFR ceilings will scatter out at KABI and KSJT, the rest of the terminals have a high probability of IFR ceilings and/or visibilities through noon. A cold front otherwise will move through tonight, shifting winds to the north and becoming gusty 2 to 3 hours after frontal passage. MVFR stratus expected after midnight south of I-20. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 29 45 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 34 47 34 61 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 37 52 34 63 / 10 0 0 0 Brownwood 31 47 28 60 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 29 44 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 37 47 37 58 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 36 47 33 61 / 10 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for Crockett- Kimble-Mason-Menard-Schleicher-Sutton. && $$ SHORT TERM...04 LONG TERM....Daniels AVIATION...04 ####018006374#### FXUS62 KMLB 131134 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 634 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 345 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 - A little warmer today with dry conditions continuing. Sunshine will be filtered through high clouds at times. - The next cold front will push through during Sunday but will come through mostly dry. Scattered showers and a storm or two will affect Treasure coast/Okeechobee. - Breezy to windy conditions develop Sunday evening/overnight as strong high pressure builds in behind the front. These winds will produce very hazardous boating and surf conditions Sun night/Mon, with high surf and beach erosion. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 345 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 Today/tonight...High pressure ridge axis draped across north central FL will weaken and push seaward. Dry conditions persist today with light winds turning onshore in a sea breeze around 10 mph south of the Cape. There will be some increase in high clouds filtering the sun at times as well as some fair weather cumulus. Max temps will warm into the mid and upper 70s, slightly above normal for mid Dec. Tonight, moisture lifts northward from south FL. Along with considerable cloudiness there will be scattered showers and possibly a storm or two after midnight lifting northward into Okeechobee and Treasure coast counties. Across northern sections, there is a better chance for fog across Volusia county, spreading southward toward metro Orlando. Sun-Mon...Ongoing showers across southern sections Sun morning will move NE and offshore onto the Atlc as a cold front pushes steadily southward across the area during the day. A NW breeze will develop initially behind the front. Then strong high pressure (1040mb) over the central US builds SE into FL and tightens the NW-N pressure gradient late Sun and esp Sun night. This will result in a period of windy conditions along the coast with Wind Advisories likely Sun night into early Monday. While it will become noticeably cooler with max temps holding in the 60s on Monday, because the winds turn onshore so quickly, the cold continental airmass will rapidly modify over EC FL sparing us any freeze concerns. These strong N/NE winds will produce rough, pounding surf and minor beach erosion Sun night into Mon. Fortunately the duration will be very short as the high pressure weakens steadily as it reaches the Carolina coast late Mon. The high tide of most concern will be early Mon between 4am-5am. A High Surf Advisory may be needed for breaking waves of 7-9 FT. Tue-Fri...The high pressure will shift eastward over the Atlc. A trailing ridge axis will remain near 30N lat so a general easterly flow will dominate Tue-Wed at 10-15 mph veering SE Thu 10 mph. The next cold front is forecast to approach Fri but lack of moisture looks to limit rain chances. Temperatures will undergo a warming trend each day reaching the upper 70s/near 80 Thu (mid 70s coastal Volusia). Lows will generally be in the 50s, holding in the lower 60s along the coast by Thu morning. && .MARINE... Issued at 345 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 High pressure ridge across the northern (Volusia) waters will produce favorable boating conditions again today. Light and variable winds will turn northeast to east up to 10 knots this afternoon. Seas 1-2 FT nearshore and up to 3 FT offshore Treasure coast. Scattered showers and a few storms will lift north into the southern (Treasure coast) waters tonight and Sun ahead of a cold front. This next front will sweep across the waters during Sunday with a NW wind shift. Winds will increase out of the north late Sunday and Sunday night as strong high pressure builds over the waters behind the cold front. The tight north-northeast pressure gradient will support wind speeds 20-30 KT with gusts to Gale force Sunday night. Seas will rapidly build 6-9 FT nearshore (up to 10 FT nearshore Volusia) and up to 13 ft in the Gulf Stream. NE winds decrease 15-20 KT by late Monday and 10-15 KT Tue as pressure gradient eases. High pressure pushes out to sea Wed and winds veer Easterly remaining 10-15 KT. Seas will be slower to subside, reaching 4-5 FT nearshore Tuesday with seas falling below 7 FT in the Gulf Stream late in the day. Seas Wed 3 FT nearshore and 4 FT offshore. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFs) Issued at 615 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 VFR conditions forecast at all ECFL airports through around 08Z tonight, then fog or showers (hopefully not both) expected to impact most if not all terminals. Some mid-upper level cloud cover starting to obscure satellite imagery, but based on satellite, obs, and traffic cameras, little if any fog other than some MIFG has developed so far this morning, and the window of opportunity will close by 13Z. Light/VRB winds this morning shift ESE-SE 5-10 kts, highest along the southern coast where some gusts to 15-20 kts can't be ruled out in the afternoon, then becoming light/VRB again after 23Z. Pretty good agreement for at least MVFR VIS impacts from fog at northern terminals including KMCO tonight after 08Z, with currently low (10-20%) chances for IFR-LIFR reductions. While chances for fog are lower at KSUA-KFPR, showers and possibly lightning storms are forecast to lift INVOF those terminals after 04Z. KMLB finds itself in between these two impacts, with modest chances (around 20%) for MVFR VIS reductions and low chances (around 10%) for showers to reach that far north. Fog should clear by 14Z Sunday at the latest, but rain chances will linger at KSUA-KVRB through the day. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 74 56 76 49 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 77 60 78 52 / 0 10 10 0 MLB 77 61 78 57 / 0 10 20 10 VRB 77 61 79 59 / 0 20 30 10 LEE 76 57 77 45 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 77 58 78 49 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 77 59 78 50 / 0 10 10 0 FPR 78 61 79 59 / 0 30 30 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Kelly AVIATION...Haley