####018003303#### FXUS66 KSGX 091736 AFDSGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 936 AM PST Tue Dec 9 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Warm and dry conditions with periods of Santa Ana winds expected this week. Above average temperatures expected into next week, with the most significant departure from normal expected today through Thursday. Mostly clear skies are expected through at least Thursday, with low clouds and fog returning to coastal areas as early as Friday or Saturday morning. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES... Highs today are expected to be around 10 degrees above average for the coast and valleys and 15 to 20 degrees above average for the valleys and mountains. A few additional degrees of warming is expected for inland areas Wednesday and Thursday, with some cooling at the coast. The surface high pressure over the Great Basin will remain in place through Friday, continuing periods of weak Santa Ana winds. Strongest winds will remain confined to coastal mountain slopes, foothills, and below passes with gusts 25 to 35 mph. The airmass getting pushed into Southern California from the Great Basin is quite dry, with minimum afternoon relative humidity for inland areas falling to 10 to 20% each afternoon through Friday, bringing periods of elevated fire weather conditions. Skies are expected to remain mostly clear through Thursday. Chances of low clouds and fog returning to the coast begin to increase Friday with higher chances over the weekend. High resolution guidance is showing the development of a coastal eddy Thursday night into Friday, which would increase the chances of low clouds and fog returning to coastal areas. The first night or two that marine layer low clouds and fog return, the fog has the potential to be dense especially as ridging aloft remains over the area into next week. Highs for the weekend into early next week will remain above average, but not quite as warm as the middle of this week. Highs along the coast through Monday will be about 5 degrees above average and 8 to 12 degrees above average for inland areas. For the early to middle part of next week there starts to become some uncertainty in the upper level pattern. By next Tuesday, 65% of ensemble clusters are showing the ridge continuing over the West Coast, with 20% showing the ridge weakening due to an incoming trough, and 15% showing the ridge present but over the Eastern Pacific. && .AVIATION... 091630Z...Beautiful clear skies with VFR conditions expected through the TAF period at all sites. Breezy winds in the foothills and locally into the adjacent valleys out of the northeast with gusts up to 25-30 kts. && .MARINE...No hazardous marine conditions are anticipated through Sunday. && .SKYWARN... Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...None. PZ...None. && $$ PUBLIC...CO AVIATION/MARINE...Villafane ####018004641#### FXUS65 KRIW 091736 AFDRIW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Riverton WY 1036 AM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Moderate snowfall will continue across the NW higher elevations today and through Thursday. Total snow accumulation through Thursday will reach 2 to 3 feet. Warmer valley temperatures will inhibit most snowfall accumulations. - Very windy across much of the state today, with High Wind Warnings in effect for much of southern and central Wyoming. - Temperatures remain 10 to 20 degrees above normal && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 145 AM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 The next passing shortwave energy is beginning to impact the NW higher elevations this morning, and the overall flow the next several days continues to be favorable for continued snow accumulation. Between orographic lifting and the passing wave, accumulations of 2 to 3 feet are becoming more likely for the Tetons and Absarokas, with 6 to 12 inches for remaining higher mountain ranges and the greater YNP region. Current variety of winter warnings and advisories are well positioned, so no adjustments needed at this time. In a usual winter, temperatures would be cold enough to help get some of this precip into the lower valleys, but not this year. Temperatures today will be in the 40s for the western valleys, and in the low 50s for the lower elevations east of the Divide, so snowfall will be locked into the mountains for the remainder of the week. The core of the llvl jet streak will be passing by just to the north today, and with temperatures in the 50s, a large chunk of this wind energy will mix to the sfc during the afternoon. With H7 winds at 70kts as they pass by, peak sfc wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph are likely for southern WY stretching NE into the Casper vicinity. The only question is winds across northern Johnson County late this afternoon as the cold front barrels through. While winds sfc and aloft are aligned, models are not really bringing winds up until the system gets a little farther east. Will monitor this if High Wind Warnings are needed there. Beyond this, the H5 ridge along the Rockies doesn't move much through the weekend, deflecting weather systems to the north and east, and keeping the unusually warm temperatures in place. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1034 AM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 VFR conditions across nearly all terminals through the period with the one exception being KJAC where a weather system will bring periods of rain/snow. Rain/snow showers will periodically move through KJAC for the start of the period. MVFR to possibly IFR conditions may be possible at times especially with any heavier showers. Precipitation will be possible at KJAC through the overnight with temperatures likely at or slightly above freezing leading to a mix of rain/snow or all rain. Showers should gradually dissipate by the late morning hours on Wednesday. The other terminals that may see an isolated brief shower or two are KCOD, KPNA, KCPR, and KWRL. Most of these terminals have low chances, less than 30% for a shower with possibly better chances at KCOD Wednesday morning. The other main concern will be strong gusty winds of 35 to 45 knots at KCOD, KCPR, and KRKS. These winds are expected to persist for another 2 or 3 hours after the start of the period before weakening. Winds will return to these terminals once again Wednesday morning with 30 to 40 knots possible through the end of the period. All other terminals are not forecast to see as strong of winds but gusty conditions will still be possible at times. Widespread gusts of 25 to 35 knots are possible at or shortly after the start of the period with these winds weakening after sunset with breezy conditions lingering. Mountain obscuration will likely persist through all of the TAF period with some improvement possible near the end of the period. Please see the Aviation Weather Center and/or CWSU ZDV and ZLC for the latest information on smoke, icing, and turbulence forecasts. && .RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Storm Warning until 5 PM MST Wednesday for WYZ001-002- 012. Winter Weather Advisory until 5 PM MST Wednesday for WYZ008- 014-015-024. High Wind Warning until 2 PM MST this afternoon for WYZ016. High Wind Warning until 5 AM MST Thursday for WYZ019-020-022- 027>030. && $$ DISCUSSION...Straub AVIATION...Dziewaltowski ####018005107#### FXUS63 KEAX 091736 AFDEAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 1136 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Breezy conditions today and tomorrow. Today wind gusts will range from 20-30 mph. Wednesday morning wind gusts will range from 40-50 mph. The strongest winds are anticipated for northern MO immediately behind the cold front Wednesday morning. A wind advisory is in effect for areas north of HWY-36. * Increasing confidence in much cooler temperatures late this week into the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 349 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Ongoing widespread near-freezing temperatures will linger through the morning hours. However, temperatures will rebound quite nicely to above-normal this afternoon. A mid to upper level trough, tracking to the southeast out of the northern Great Plains, will push a surface low (and associated fronts) through southern MN towards WI resulting in a strengthened pressure gradient. With mostly clear skies across the area and just enough diurnal mixing, a few winds gusts to 20-30 mph will be possible late this morning into the afternoon. This increased southwesterly windflow, out ahead of the cold front, will be the catalyst for our warm-up today above seasonal averages. Highs for today will range mostly in the 50s. Locations east of I-35 and north of I-70 may see highs in the 40s as cloud coverage (associated with a ribbon of moisture and a lead H700 shortwave) could impede the effects of daytime heating. Late Tuesday into early Wednesday, the mid to upper level trough will make it into WI pushing the surface low and cold front through the area. As a result, our winds will reorient out of the northwest. As the pressure gradient strengthens with the low passing to our north/northeast, winds at H925 increase to near 50 kts. As the cold front passes and low-level lapse rates steepen immediately behind the cold front, surface wind gusts will rapidly accelerate to 40-50 mph. Confidence for the strongest winds remains in areas north of HWY-36. The HREF strongly agrees, giving areas north of a line from St. Joseph to Macon probabilities of 60%-100% of winds greater than 45 mph early Wednesday morning. A wind advisory has been issued for areas north of a line from Holt to Adair counties from 9Z-14Z. There is a chance that this advisory could be expanded if higher wind gusts are expected farther south. The strongest winds taper off late Wednesday morning as the gradient begins to relax. Concerning precipitation with this front, there are very low-end chances (below 10%) for a few, brief snow flurries given how close the saturated layer is to the dendritic growth zone. The best chance would be for areas near northeast MO. Confidence is not high enough at this time to increase PoPs as better moisture and forcing remain to our north. Therefore, the forecast remains dry for Wednesday morning for our area. Highs for Wednesday on the backside of the cold front range in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Some locations near west- central MO may reach the upper 40s. For the second half of this week, a stout mid to upper level ridge shifts eastward over the western U.S. As we remain on the eastern periphery of the ridge, it seems to keep us mostly dry even with shortwaves, within the circulation of a robust closed low over Manitoba/Ontario, pushing through the area. The LREF hints at a chance for snow flurries on Thursday morning, however confidence in timing and location remains too low at this time add a mention to the forecast. At the surface, an anomalous high pressure (1 to 2 standard deviations above normal) descends into the Northern Great Plains this weekend possibly ushering in the coldest temperatures we have seen so far this year. Highs for this weekend range from the teens to just above freezing with lows just below zero to the upper teens. Early next week, heights rise with the eastward shift of the upper level ridge suggesting temperatures return closer. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1132 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Breezy VFR conditions are expected for the duration of the forecast period. Southwest winds continue to accelerate expecting to gust around 20-30 knots through the afternoon. Gusts are expected to dissipate slightly, but continue through the overnight. A front moves through shifting winds from SW to NW with gusts increasing behind the front. A brief window of MVFR CIGs is possible with the frontal passage, but sky coverage is expected to open up as the front moves away. Gusts also weaken towards the end of the period becoming more nominal tomorrow afternoon. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...Wind Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CST Wednesday for MOZ001>008- 011-015>017. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Collier AVIATION...Pesel ####018012059#### FXUS63 KLOT 091738 AFDLOT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 1138 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - A brief period of freezing rain may result in a glaze of ice on untreated surfaces this evening, impacting part of the PM commute (~5-8 PM CST), mainly northwest of a Dixon to McHenry, IL line (30% chance). - Strong southwest winds are expected late this evening before becoming northwest on Wednesday (gusts to 35-40+ mph). - The potential for hazardous travel conditions is increasing for the Wednesday AM commute due to robust snow showers or squalls. - More fast-moving clipper systems could result in some additional periods of accumulating snow in or near our area late this week into the weekend. - Temperatures will turn colder for the latter half of the week and especially this coming weekend, when dangerously cold wind chills may also be observed at times. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 405 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Through Wednesday night: A complex forecast is in store through the next 24-48 hours with multiple periods where there may be travel impacts. The overnight snow showers and flurries are on their way out of the area but likely resulted in a quick dusting in some spots. In their wake, southerly warm and moist advection is already well underway with winds steadily increasing out of the south here locally. In fact, above freezing temperatures have already lifted out of Missouri into southwest Illinois. The freezing line will continue to lift northeast across Illinois and into Indiana through the day today. The potential for freezing drizzle continues to wane early this morning with the lingering stratus deck expected to thin through the morning. This should inhibit additional drizzle development. However, there are weak echoes on radar across parts of Wisconsin but so far have not seen any observations of this reaching the ground. Still something to keep an eye on for counties along the WI/IL stateline. As temperatures warm over the snowpack, any lingering stratus is expected to continue thinning which will limit any potential drizzle developing later this morning, but overall, not expecting any hazardous weather through the daylight hours. The big forecast question after sunset early this evening is whether or not there is a brief window for freezing rain across northwest Illinois and along the WI/IL state line (generally north of a Dixon to McHenry, IL line (including the Rockford metro). A strengthening surface low is forecast to track across southern Wisconsin overnight. Out ahead of it, light precipitation will move into the area after sunset. Forecast vertical profiles suggest that the primary precipitation type is expected to be liquid/rain (perhaps mixed with some snow and/or sleet initially). If ground temperatures are even just an hour or two slower at warming above freezing than forecast, this could lead to a quick glaze of ice on untreated surfaces coinciding with part of the PM commute. Confidence in this occurring here locally remains quite low, however, and have noted a trend toward a slower onset of precipitation with some of the latest guidance which further narrows this window (closer to 5-8 PM CST). Have opted to message this with an SPS for Ogle, Winnebago, Boone, and McHenry counties for now outlining the threat of slick roadways. If confidence increases in slower warming and a larger window for icing, a short-fused Winter Weather Advisory may be needed given it would coincide with the latter half of the PM commute. Stay tuned! Once temperatures warm solidly above freezing across the area late Tuesday, cold rain is expected to expand across the area through the evening and continue overnight (total QPF around 0.1-0.2"). Winds will also become strong out of the southwest through the evening, gusting up to 35 to 40+ mph. There may be a bit of a break in the precipitation late tonight into early Wednesday morning before a formidable cold front races across the area. This will likely be paired with gusty snow showers to potentially robust snow squalls. Winds along the front will likely approach or reach wind advisory criteria for a 1-3 hour window for any given location. Opted to hold off on a wind advisory issuance with this update in case the day shift determines that the snow squall potential itself warrants a Winter Weather Advisory (as some offices have done upstream). The trend toward higher Snow Squall Parameter values is also telling (incorporates low-level instability, moisture, and winds). This could result in a quick coating of snow up to an inch within a short window of time paired with very low visibility and strong winds. Accordingly, impacts to the Wednesday morning commute are becoming increasingly likely across the area between roughly 5-10 AM CST from northwest to southeast. A few show showers may linger into the afternoon with temperatures in the upper 20s to around 30 degrees. Temperatures then steadily fall into Wednesday night with lows back into the teens (around 20 near the immediate lakeshore). There is a signal for a robust lake effect band to drive down the lake in the wake of the front Wednesday afternoon into the evening. This could bring a quick 1-2" of snow to portions of northwest Indiana before ending overnight. Petr Thursday through Monday: The stubborn northwest flow pattern will persist over much the CONUS through the latter half of the week and into the upcoming weekend. With the energetic jet stream and associated baroclinic zone lining up directly over Illinois and Indiana, the barrage of clipper-type systems getting sent into the Midwest/Great Lakes will continue through at least this weekend, and each of these systems will likely produce additional snow accumulations somewhere in or very near our forecast area. While there are still some differences across the broader suite of medium range deterministic and ensemble guidance that are leading to persisting spatiotemporal uncertainties with our precipitation forecast, there appear to be three primary disturbances of note that will affect the region between Thursday and Sunday. The first of these disturbances will be a somewhat sheared-out shortwave trough that looks to arrive at our longitude sometime late Thursday/Thursday night. Strengthening mid-level frontogenesis along the attendant baroclinic zone during this time should help induce an elongated band of snow somewhere over or just southwest of our forecast area as this wave passes by. A second shortwave trough then looks to follow closely on the heels of this first shortwave, arriving in the region on Friday. Depending on when this wave arrives and how far south it dips, it could help prolong the Thursday night snowfall into Friday, or it could induce its own separate area of snow that may largely remain to our north. Finally, a third shortwave trough is then favored to zip into the region on Saturday, with an overwhelming majority of 00Z EPS members and a smaller majority of 00Z GEFS members outputting QPF in our forecast area as this disturbance passes overhead. It's still too early to have much confidence in snow amounts with each of these snowfall opportunities. However, it can be said that the cold and dry air infiltrating the region should support generally lower QPF amounts, but higher snow-to-liquid ratios that correlate to fluffier snow characters (and possibly even dust-like snow, particularly in the case of this weekend). Of potentially greater note for this coming weekend will be the bitterly cold temperatures. Successive shots of cold air brought in by the aforementioned disturbances will likely culminate in single digit and sub-zero lows and possibly even single digit highs in many areas over the weekend. Confidence in our overnight/morning wind magnitudes isn't particularly high at this point in time, but until a Canadian surface high settles over the region sometime Sunday into Monday, suspect that there's a good chance that northwesterly winds will remain high enough for minimum wind chills to reach (or at least get close to) our -20F threshold for Cold Weather advisories in some locations on at least one morning this coming weekend. Ogorek && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1138 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Key Messages: - Strong and increasingly gusty winds expected tonight into Wednesday, initially from a southwesterly to westerly direction, then turning northwesterly early Wednesday morning. - A period of rain expected this evening. - About a 1 to 3 hour period of wind-whipped snow showers and associated low VSBY's expected early Wednesday morning. A potent clipper system will race east-southeastward across southern WI tonight into early Wednesday morning. This approaching system will foster increasingly gusty winds (25-30kt) from the west-southwest tonight, followed by a period of 30-35 kt west-northwesterly gusts with a cold frontal passage Wednesday morning. Northwesterly winds are then expected to remain gusty into the afternoon, but magnitudes will ease through the day. A majority of the precipitation with this system is anticipated to remain north of the the area. With that being said, a period of rain is still expected for a few hours this evening before waning overnight. Still cannot rule out a very brief (<1 hour) wintry mix with the rain onset this early this evening, but the chances and duration of any wintry mix are expected to remain short enough to exclude the mention from the main terminals. Finally, a second period of precipitation is expected with this system early Wednesday morning (roughly 11 to 15Z timeframe) as the cold front and colder airmass surges back southward into the area. Precipitation type with this batch of precipitation is expected to be snow, with some minor accumulations possible. In combination with the strong gusty northwest winds, wind- whipped snow showers may support a short (1-2 hour) period of sub 1 mile VSBYs early Wednesday morning. Conditions should then gradually improve mid to late morning as the snow shifts out of the area, though some MVFR CIGs look to persist into the afternoon. KJB && .MARINE... Issued at 405 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 - Gale Warning in effect late Tuesday evening through Wednesday afternoon. The Gale Watch has been upgraded to a Gale Warning for strong southwest winds quickly increasing through this evening ahead of an approaching weather system to 35-40 kt gales. Wind directions then turn northwest behind a cold front Wednesday morning paired with gusty snow showers/squalls. A lake effect snow band diving down the lake Wednesday afternoon may lead to another brief period of higher gusts to 40 kt Wednesday afternoon before winds gradually ease late afternoon into the evening. Petr && .LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. IN...None. LM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for Winthrop Harbor IL to Gary IN. Gale Warning from 9 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Wednesday for Winthrop Harbor IL to Gary IN. Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for Gary to Burns Harbor IN-Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN. Gale Warning from 9 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Wednesday for Gary to Burns Harbor IN-Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN. && $$ Visit us at weather.gov/chicago ####018006904#### FXUS62 KFFC 091738 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 1238 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New 18Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1235 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 - Significant rainfall is not anticipated in the region through at least the middle of next week. - Mild temperatures, highs mainly in the 50s and lower 60s, will continue in the region through the end of the workweek. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 212 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 Today through Wednesday: A weak wedge front sliding into the region this morning will produce low cloud cover and help limit high temperatures northeast Georgia this afternoon. Cloud cover should be the most widespread between 4 AM and 11 AM before boundary layer mixing takes hold and it mixes out this afternoon. Areas of western and northwest Georgia should see the most sunshine today, and consequently highs in the lower 50s are favored. Quiet weather and light winds will prevail tonight. This will open the door for radiational cooling, especially in central Georgia where high cloud cover should be more sparse. As a consequence overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower 30s are anticipate, with the coldest temps (outside of the mountains) expected in east central Georgia. Southerly winds ahead of a cold front will bring WAA to Georgia on Wednesday. Temperatures should respond by surging upwards (by about 10 degrees). Central Georgia should reach the lower 60s Wednesday afternoon, while widespread highs in the upper 50s can be expected in north Georgia. The stronger southerly flow should also produce wind gusts in the 20 to 25 mph range during the afternoon. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 212 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 On Wednesday night, shortwave troughing will be rotating through the Ohio Valley region towards the Northeast CONUS around the southern side of a closed mid-level low over Southeast Canada. As this occurs, it will serve to intensify an associated surface low moving from the Great Lakes towards Maine. A cold front extending from this low will meanwhile be pushing through north Georgia. With limited low level moisture, precipitation is looking increasingly unlikely ahead of this front, with PoPs of 15% or less being confined to the higher elevations of far northeast Georgia. Northwesterly flow at the surface and aloft will bring a reinforcing shot of cool and dry air into the forecast area. Low temperatures on THursday morning are expected to be in the upper 20s to low 30s to the north of I-85 and largely to the mid 30s to the south. High pressure building over the Southeast will promote benign weather conditions across the area on Thursday. Highs on Thursday will range from the upper 40s to low 50s in north Georgia (with low to mid 40s in the mountains) and mid to upper 50s in central Georgia. After Friday morning begins with lows in the low 30s across the majority of the forecast area, the center of the surface high will move east of Georgia during the daytime. Southwesterly low level flow on the back side of the high will allow for gradual moisture return, with dewpoints climbing from the 20s and low 30s to near 40 by Friday night. High temperatures will also be on the rise under the high and with warm advection from the Gulf, rising to the mid 50s to low 60s in north Georgia and mid 60s in central Georgia on Friday afternoon. Also on Friday, a quick-hitting disturbance will move southeastward through the jet, from the northern Great Plains towards the Ohio Valley region. Global model guidance indicates that increased mid-level moisture ahead of this feature could advance into north Georgia, but continues to disagree on the strength of the disturbance. Overall, forcing associated with this disturbance appears that it will be weak as far south as north Georgia, but a few isolated showers could be possible amid the increasing low level moisture if there is a sufficient mass response. With guidance continuing the trend towards drier solutions, PoPs associated with this system are limited to 10-15% in north and portions of west Georgia Friday night into Saturday. Both low and high temperatures on Saturday and Sunday have trended warmer than the previous forecast, with a slower progression of a cold front ahead of a building Arctic high surface high approaching from the northwest. Isolated to scattered showers, with PoPs of 20- 30%, are forecast in portions of north Georgia Saturday night into Sunday morning, with rain chances fizzling out by Sunday afternoon. Rainfall amounts are forecast to be about 0.10 inch in the far northern tier, with even less substantial totals to the south. There is the potential for significantly colder air to set up behind the front starting Sunday night into Monday, though the extent of how much temperatures drop will depend on the movement of the high's center and the proximity of north/central Georgia to the core of the coldest air. Latest long range guidance is favoring a weakening of the surface high and a more northward track into the midwest, which would favor a less extreme temperature drop. Plenty of run to run inconsistency remains at this time, so the evolution and track of this Arctic high will need to be monitored. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 MVFR clouds should become SCT by 18z and then by 20z should see SCT VFR over the airfield. Overnight should see skies for the most part clear out but by the morning will likely see at least SCT MVFR again like today. Winds will shift to the SW by 20z today where they should stay until tomorrow when they become from the W at 10-12kt with gusts up to 25kt. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... Medium confidence on MVFR in the morning. High confidence on all other elements. Hernandez && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 46 32 57 35 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 49 34 58 35 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 45 28 51 26 / 0 0 0 10 Cartersville 50 32 58 31 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 51 32 61 36 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 46 33 56 34 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 51 29 61 36 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 54 35 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 50 32 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 51 31 61 39 / 0 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Albright LONG TERM....King AVIATION...Hernandez ####018003351#### FXUS64 KBMX 091738 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1138 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1132 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025 - Seasonable temperatures expected this week with little chance for rain until the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Sunday) Issued at 1132 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025 As of writing, the sun is finally out across Central Alabama. However, it will be short-lived as a swath of low to mid level clouds is pushing into the NW part of the state as a H5 vort max swings through. These clouds shouldn't linger for too long as ridging quickly builds into the region. Increased subsidence and limited moisture will keep us dry through the remainder of the work week. A weak cold front slides through Wednesday into Thursday. It should pass through with little impact as there will be limited moisture available. Low to moderate rain chances return to the forecast over the weekend as our next upper trough slides across the eastern CONUS. We will see a slight uptick in moisture as a warm front moves north on Saturday. A cold front kicks south Saturday night into Sunday. Our best rain chances come during that timeframe as low level moisture convergence is maximized. Currently not expecting much in the way of thunder as instability will be lacking. We quickly dry out in the wake of the front as weak ridging builds in. To quickly touch on temperatures, a warming trend will kick in through the week with highs in the 60s for Friday and Saturday. With that said, we will see a brief cool down on Thursday but we quickly warm back up. Another cool down is in store behind Sunday's FROPA. 95/Castillo && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1132 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025 VFR conditions continue through the remainder of this TAF cycle. Winds will be light, less than 5 knots, out of the south through late tomorrow morning. Winds increase out of southwest by 16-17Z with gusts around 20 knots likely. With that said, there are low chances for MVFR ceilings over the next couple hours at BHM/TCL/EET and again around sunrise areawide. Confidence is not high enough at this time to include in the TAFs. 95/Castillo && .FIRE WEATHER... MinRHs will generally remain above 40% for the next several days with little to no rain chances through the remainder of the week. We'll see southerly flow today, shifting more westerly then northerly with our next frontal passage Wednesday into Thursday. Low to medium rain chances return Saturday night into Sunday as another cold front moves through. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 51 31 58 29 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 53 34 58 32 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 51 36 58 32 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 54 34 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 54 33 60 32 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 52 34 58 36 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 53 32 61 35 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 54 31 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...95/Castillo AVIATION...95/Castillo