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FNUS38 KWNS 142024

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0321 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2024



VALID TIME 161200Z - 221200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



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FNUS28 KWNS 142024

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0321 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024



Valid 161200Z - 221200Z



A potent shortwave trough in the central Plains will be in the

process of lifting northeastward and weakening on Tuesday/Wednesday.

Another broad trough will move through the northern Plains into the

Great Lakes and Northeast through the remainder of the week. Flow

aloft within the southern half of the CONUS will generally become

more zonal with time. Models suggest a more amplified pattern may

develop by next weekend. At the surface, the initial trough/surface

cyclone will push a relatively weak cold front through parts of the

southern Plains late Tuesday into Wednesday. A secondary push of

cooler air is possible late next week with some suggestion that the

front will reach the Gulf during the weekend.



...Southern High Plains...

Fire weather concerns will continue into Tuesday on the back side of

the initial trough/surface cyclone. Winds will tend to weaken during

the day as the cyclone moves farther north and east. A few hours of

elevated to locally critical fire weather is possible.



Some fire weather concerns are also possible on Wednesday as a weak

lee cyclone develops within the zonal flow regime across the Divide.

The most likely area for low-end concerns would be northeastern New

Mexico. Given the weaker synoptic features, potential for critical

fire weather is too low for highlights.



..Wendt.. 04/14/2024



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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