####018000271####
FNUS38 KWNS 152046

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0344 PM CDT MON APR 15 2024



VALID TIME 171200Z - 231200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



&&

####018001835####
FNUS28 KWNS 152046

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024



Valid 171200Z - 231200Z



A shortwave trough lifting into the Great Lakes region mid to late

this week will continue to weaken while another shortwave will pivot

through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains by late in the

week. The secondary trough is forecast to intensify across the Great

Lakes into the Northeast during the weekend. Across the southern

tier of the U.S., flow aloft will remain relatively zonal through

the period. At the surface, a weak lee cyclone is expected to

develop in southeast Colorado on Wednesday. As this moves eastward

along with the upper trough to the north, cooler air will filter

into the southern Plains. A secondary surge of cooler air will push

into the northern Gulf during the weekend.



...Southern High Plains...

Elevated to perhaps locally critical conditions appear possible as

the southeastern Colorado low develops on Wednesday afternoon. Winds

of 15-20 mph will overlap very low RH of around 10-15%. Fire weather

concerns will be somewhat localized near the terrain to the

southwest of the surface low.



...Western/Central New Mexico...

As the back door cold front pushes against the southern Rockies late

this week into the weekend, generally dry conditions are expected

across the Southwest. As fuels are continuing to dry within New

Mexico, it is possible some fire weather risk will exist for central

and western parts of the state. This would most likely occur on

Saturday when a low-amplitude trough approaches from the west. Model

and fuel trends will continue to be monitored.



..Wendt.. 04/15/2024



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$