####018002495#### FNUS28 KWNS 062150 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 PM CST Mon Jan 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Critical fire weather conditions are expected along the southern California coast at the start of the extended period before a relatively quiescent period of limited fire weather concerns across the country - largely driven by recent widespread precipitation and cold temperatures across the country. ..D3/Wednesday to D4/Thursday - Southern California... Critical fire weather conditions will likely be ongoing at the start of the forecast period/12 UTC Wednesday along the southern CA coast. Latest water-vapor imagery depicts an upper ridge building along the West Coast with an embedded shortwave trough propagating southward across the Pacific Northwest. This shortwave will amplify over the next 48 hours as it migrates into the lower CO River Valley. A building surface high over the Great Basin coupled with strengthening offshore mid-level winds will induce a strong, prolonged offshore wind event along the southern CA coast beginning on D2/Tuesday and persisting into D4/Thursday. Medium-range deterministic guidance suggests widespread sustained winds between 25-35 mph are expected with gusts between 50-60 mph possible within the coastal terrain. While 25+ mph winds are expected for much of the day, the general ensemble consensus continues to indicate that the peak offshore pressure gradient will occur on Wednesday morning, which may support isolated gusts upwards of 70-80 mph in terrain favored areas. Relative humidity reductions down to 10-15% are expected, and a few locations may see RH values fall into the upper single digits. As such, some locations may experience periods of extremely critical fire weather conditions Wednesday morning and afternoon. Wind speeds will gradually abate beginning early Thursday morning into early Friday as the upper wave shifts east. Model spread regarding the cessation of critical fire weather conditions remains high, but critical wind speeds will likely persist within the higher terrain of Los Angeles and Ventura counties through Thursday morning. Consequently, 70% risk probabilities have been introduced, and may need to be expanded as confidence in the wind forecast increases. ..Moore.. 01/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ ####018000856#### FNUS38 KWNS 062150 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0349 PM CST MON JAN 06 2025 VALID TIME 081200Z - 141200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... D3 34511811 34441793 34331762 34261746 34071725 33841710 33551696 33141675 32781661 32641663 32621674 32631688 32921704 33301720 33381729 33491746 33641760 33801776 33931783 34001792 34081807 34111823 34121834 34091854 34071870 34071885 34151903 34341932 34431936 34531933 34591921 34621896 34611871 34591860 34581844 34511811 D4 34471936 34551935 34601930 34651912 34671858 34591828 34421779 34351759 34281752 34171754 34101766 34101777 34171805 34191835 34231856 34261885 34281906 34411932 34471936 &&