####018002187####
FNUS22 KWNS 151844

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0143 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024



Valid 161200Z - 171200Z



Modest expansion of the Elevated area was made on account of recent

guidance. Locally critical conditions are possible in areas of

terrain enhancement in New Mexico. There is also some possibility

that elevated fire weather may occur farther east into the Texas

Rolling Plains and western Oklahoma. This threat will be dependent

on where and how much precipitation falls Monday evening/overnight.

For now, highlights will be withheld.



..Wendt.. 04/15/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024/



...Synopsis...

As the upper low ejects eastward over the Plains and into the

Midwest, strong flow aloft will gradually weaken from west to east.

The associated surface low and trailing front/dryline will move

eastward as a secondary cold front moves in from the north. Gusty

winds and low humidity will remain possible over parts of the

southern and central Plains. However, the duration and coverage of

critical conditions is uncertain.



...Southern High Plains to the Texas Big Bend...

As the strong upper low lifts away to the northeast early

D2/Tuesday, winds aloft will slowly diminish across the southern

High Plains through the day. Still, downslope west/northwesterly

flow will favor dry and warm surface conditions over much of eastern

NM and west TX. Surface wind gusts of 15-20 mph are expected through

part of the day along with RH below 20%. While not overly robust, a

few hours of elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions

still appear likely given widespread dry fuels.



Localized fire-weather conditions may also briefly develop farther

east into portions of central/eastern KS Tuesday afternoon. Gusty

winds and lower humidity will remain possible, ahead of the

secondary cold front moving south. However, the limited duration and

uncertainty on precipitation from the previous day suggest this

threat will be brief and localized.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$