####018001200####
FNUS21 KWNS 020533

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1232 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2026



Valid 021200Z - 031200Z



...Synopsis...

Weak and diffuse upper-level troughing will be over the Southwest,

with moisture aloft increasing along/east of the Divide in New

Mexico and along portions of the Arizona/New Mexico and New

Mexico-Colorado borders. PWAT values will increase to 0.4-0.6"

across western New Mexico and into far eastern Arizona and southern

Colorado, but surface dewpoints are likely to remain below 40F and

mostly 20-30F. Deep, well-mixed inverted-V soundings are expected

with high cloud bases of 10,000-13,000 feet AGL, with minimum RH of

10-20%. Weaker steering flow (5-15 knots) and deep, dry sub-cloud

layers may create a mix of wet/dry thunderstorms, and storms will be

wetter farther east as coverage and moisture increases. Overall,

forcing for ascent aloft and enough buoyancy should produce isolated

mostly dry thunderstorms over dry fuels (ERCs 80-95th percentile) in

western New Mexico/vicinity.



..Nauslar.. 06/02/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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####018001803####
FNUS22 KWNS 020534

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1234 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2026



Valid 031200Z - 041200Z



...NO CRITICAL AREAS...



...Synopsis...

Weak and diffuse upper-level troughing will continue over the

Southwest, with an upper-level trough moving into the northwestern

US. Winds will increase across much of western/northern Nevada into

southern Idaho ahead of the upper-level trough and associated dry

cold front and overlap a dry airmass. Elevated to locally critical

winds/RH are likely across these areas, but recent rainfall should

mitigate fire weather concerns, with this acting as more of a curing

event. 



Isolated to scattered mixed wet/dry thunderstorms are likely again

across portions of far eastern Arizona into western New Mexico and

southern Colorado. Storms east of the Divide will be mostly wet with

drier storms along/west of the Divide. However, given the weak

steering flow, storms are likely to linger longer over areas,

especially on the higher terrain. Additionally, slightly deeper

moisture may work its way into portions of eastern Arizona,

especially southeast Arizona, which would also limit the potential

for drier thunderstorms. Fuels remain dry, but some areas will have

a second consecutive day of thunderstorms, which may help limit

ignition potential. 



The upper-level ridge will begin to flatten over the Upper Midwest

and Great Lakes, but the stronger winds will be displaced from the

lowest RH. Regardless, fuels remain very dry across these areas

(90th+ percentile) amid above normal temperatures and pockets of RH

below elevated criteria.



..Nauslar.. 06/02/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$