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FNUS22 KWNS 031929

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0229 PM CDT Fri Jul 03 2026



Valid 041200Z - 051200Z



...Colorado...

An IsoDryT area was added for portions of central Colorado as

moisture advects westward into the Colorado Rockies. Much of the

moisture will not make it past the Front Range, but deep terrain

circulations and forecast guidance consensus of a weak shortwave

trough/vort max rotating over the area near peak heating should be

enough for isolated thunderstorms. Thunderstorm probabilities are

10-20%, but with any thunderstorm that forms, it will be dry and

over near to record dry fuels. Additionally, any active large fires

in the vicinity of the IsoDryT area will have increased

probabilities of deep pyroconvection. 



...Inland Northwest...

Gusty Cascade Gap winds will spread out onto portions of the

Columbia Basin tomorrow. Westerly sustained winds of 10-20 mph with

gusts of 20-30 mph amid minimum RH of 12-25% are forecast tomorrow

across portions of the Inland Northwest. Locally elevated conditions

may develop farther south in portions of central/eastern Oregon as

well.



..Nauslar.. 07/03/2026



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Fri Jul 03 2026/



...Synopsis...

Fire weather concerns will remain limited for Saturday compared to

previous days. A building upper-level ridge across the

Southwest/Four Corners will maintain very dry conditions across UT

and CO with another day of single-digit RH minimums likely. However,

this will also act to limit the intensity of the lee cyclone over

the southern/central High Plains and displace it further east across

KS compared to previous days. Consequently, the mass response over

the Four Corners will be weaker, limiting the potential for

sustained elevated/critical wind speeds. While localized elevated

conditions are possible across the greater Four Corners region

(particularly across NM), such conditions will likely be fairly

transient and confined to local terrain features.



...Dry Thunderstorms...

An influx of Pacific moisture is expected across AZ and western NM

through the day Saturday. Steep lapse rates will likely accompany

the leading edge of the returning moisture and may support pockets

of sufficient buoyancy for transient thunderstorms across far

eastern AZ and into western/central NM. While this potential is

noted, confidence is very limited owing to considerable spread among

recent guidance regarding thunderstorm development and coverage.

However, if convection can develop some dry-lightning threat will

likely materialize given antecedent dry boundary-layer conditions.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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