####018002514####
FNUS28 KWNS 032158

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0456 PM CDT Fri Jul 03 2026



Valid 051200Z - 111200Z



Upper-level heights build over the southern/central Intermountain

West this weekend into early next week as an upper high begins to

develop over the Southwest. A weak upper low will track

north-northeast over California into the northern Rockies Day

3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday. Moisture will move northward this weekend

through early next week as south-southwest flow develops over much

of the West. An upper-level trough is forecast to move into the

Northwest around mid-next week, with weak ridging/higher heights

remaining across the southern US. 



As moisture increases into the greater Four Corners region,

thunderstorm chances will increase. Given that low-levels will

remain dry west of the Divide, and that PWAT values are likely to

remain below 0.9" on the northern portions of this moisture plume,

isolated to scattered mixed wet/dry thunderstorms are likely to

develop. Forecast guidance currently favor portions of northern

Arizona, central/eastern Utah, and western Colorado for drier

thunderstorm development early next week. These outlook areas also

have very to record dry fuels. The 10% DryT areas may shift and

potentially expand, including into eastern Nevada, as forecast

guidance coalesces. While mixed wet/dry thunderstorms are likely

across portions of New Mexico, central Colorado, and southeast

Arizona, consecutive days of thunderstorm development will likely

reduce the risk of new ignitions.



Isolated to scattered mixed wet/dry thunderstorms are possible

across portions of northern California into southeast Oregon on Day

3/Sunday into Day 4/Monday. This may include nocturnal thunderstorms

during Day 3/Sunday night. PSA Fire Danger charts indicate ERCs are

below average for this time of year and below the 90th percentile.

Given the uncertainty of thunderstorm development and fuel

receptiveness, no DryT probabilities were included. 



As upper-level troughing moves into the Northwest next week, gusty

Cascade Gap winds are likely to develop with dry/breezy conditions

spilling into the Columbia Basin. However, the timing and magnitude

of these conditions remain uncertain, and this will continued to be

monitored in subsequent outlooks.



..Nauslar.. 07/03/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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####018000271####
FNUS38 KWNS 032158

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0456 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2026



VALID TIME 051200Z - 111200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



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