####018001880####
FNUS22 KWNS 291920

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0219 PM CDT Thu May 29 2025



Valid 301200Z - 311200Z



Southeasterly winds associated with a backdoor cold front/Southern

Plains surface high will bring an influx of moisture back into

southern New Mexico and southwestern Arizona Friday. Daytime

instability initially over higher terrain along with increased

moisture availability (precipitable water values of 0.50-0.70") will

support isolated dry thunderstorms from the Pinaleno Mountains in

southeastern Arizona towards the San Mateo Mountains southwest of

Albuquerque where dry fuels make ignition more likely. Probability

of wetting rains >0.10" from showers and thunderstorms increases

towards far Western Texas where a deeper moisture profile should

exist Friday.



..Williams.. 05/29/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1232 AM CDT Thu May 29 2025/



...Synopsis...

Steady moisture increase will continue westward, as far as

southeastern Arizona, Friday as a backdoor cold front and

southeasterly flow continue across New Mexico D1/Thurs into D2/Fri.

This will bring potential for dry thunderstorm chances into far

western New Mexico/southeastern Arizona by Friday afternoon.

Precipitable water values look to increase through the day, however,

at least some mix of dry/wet thunderstorms is expected with

generally less that <0.10" of precipitation for most places. Fuels

in these regions remain in the 75ht-90th percentile for dryness and

would support new ignitions. As such, an area of isolated dry

thunderstorm chances was maintained and expanded with this outlook

to include areas of Arizona just east of the Pinaleno Mountains and

Chiricahua Mountains into western New Mexico.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$