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FNUS21 KWNS 241646

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1045 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2024



Valid 241700Z - 251200Z



...NO CRITICAL AREAS...



No changes to the ongoing forecast.



..Wendt.. 02/24/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2024/



...Synopsis...

Northwesterly flow aloft is expected across the western and central

CONUS in the wake of a departing eastern US trough and surface cold

front. Building high pressure should keep winds modest over the

central US. However, stronger surface winds are expected along the

fringes of the high across the Plains and Gulf Coast. Some

fire-weather concerns are possible, though limited overlap with dry

fuels should keep conditions localized.



...Central/Southern High Plains...

While high pressure settles over the eastern half of the US and into

the Great Basin, strong downslope winds are expected to develop in

the lee of the Rockies to the West. Aided by increasingly strong

northwesterly flow aloft and a subtle lee trough, gusty surface

winds of 20-25 mph are possible. Somewhat drier conditions are also

expected with minimum RH values as low as 20-25% briefly possible

through the afternoon hours. Elevated to locally critical

meteorological conditions appear likely across parts of CO, KS, NM

and NE through this afternoon. However, fuels are only partially

receptive to fire spread. This suggests fire-weather concerns should

remain more localized.



...Southeast...

As offshore flow continues behind the departing cold front, gusty

afternoon winds of 10-15 mph are possible over parts of the

Southeast and Gulf Coast. Coincident with drier than normal

conditions and RH values below 30%, some locally elevated conditions

are possible. However, recent rainfall should keep any fire-weather

concerns localized due to limited overlap with only marginally dry

fuels.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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