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FNUS21 KWNS 251651

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1051 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2024



Valid 251700Z - 261200Z



The elevated area has been expanded based on observed conditions

this morning as well as updated fuel information.



..Wendt.. 02/25/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2024/



...Synopsis...

Split flow aloft will continue to strengthen over much of the

western and central US before turning more zonal with time. Several

small perturbations within the southern branch of the strong flow

will cross the southern Rockies strengthening a lee trough.

Downslope winds across parts of the southern High Plains will likely

support elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions.



...Southwest and Southern High Plains...

Northwest flow aloft is forecast to intensify over parts of the

Southwest and southern High Plains through D2/Sunday. Aided by the

stronger flow aloft, and a lee trough, gusty downslope winds of

20-25 mph are possible across parts of eastern NM, southeastern CO

and west TX. Afternoon RH values below 20% will also be likely with

unseasonably warm temperatures. With little rain over this area in

the past several weeks, emerging dryness within area fuels is

expected to support a risk for elevated to near-critical

fire-weather conditions through the afternoon hours. 



Strong winds and low humidity may also extend farther north across

parts of eastern CO and southeastern WY where strong gusts are

expected through terrain gaps. While meteorological conditions

appear likely to support some risk for critical fire-weather

conditions, area fuels remain only modestly receptive. Uncertainty

on fuel availability is high suggesting concerns will likely remain

more localized.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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