####018001916####
FNUS22 KWNS 020650

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0150 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026



Valid 031200Z - 041200Z



...Synopsis...

Split mid-level flow will develop over the US Sunday as an upper

trough exits the east coast and ridging remains in place across the

Great Basin. The northern branch of the flow aloft will remain

northwesterly over the Plains while a cutoff low is absorbed by the

strengthening sub tropical jet. The result will be unseasonably dry

conditions over much of the central CONUS where elevated

fire-weather conditions are possible across the northern Plains.



...Northern Plains...

An upper-level shortwave trough is forecast to deepen as it moves

out of southern Canada into the northern US Sunday. At the surface,

an associated low will intensify as it traverses south-central

Canada. A strengthening surface pressure gradient should tighten

across much of the northern Plains, promoting dry and breezy

conditions ahead of a southward progressing cold front tied to the

low. Gusty winds of 20-30 mph are expected, along with RH below 30%.

Widespread dry and breezy conditions over a dry fuelscape should

promote elevated fire-weather potential.



...Southern High Plains...

Dry and breezy southerly flow is expected over parts of western OK

and the TX Panhandles Sunday beneath a northwesterly flow shortwave

trough. South/southwest gusts of 20-25 mph are possible during the

afternoon. With few clouds, afternoon RH values are expected to

decrease to below 20% near the lee trough. This could support some

localized fire-weather concerns. However, seasonably cooler

temperatures and rainfall/green up have tempered fuels such that

widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected.



..Lyons.. 05/02/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$