####018001728#### FNUS21 KWNS 060610 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0109 AM CDT Tue Apr 06 2021 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A strong upper-low will move through the Great Basin and reach the Four Corners toward by midday. Strong mid-level flow will develop on the southern flank of the low across much of central Arizona eastward into central/southern New Mexico. At the surface, a cyclone will deepen along the Kansas/Colorado border before evolving into an elongated surface trough from the southern High Plains northeastward through eastern Nebraska by early evening. A cold front will progress through the Southwest and into the Southern Plains. ...Southwest and Southern High Plains... Widespread critical fire weather is likely to occur tomorrow afternoon. The strong mid-level winds will be favorably timed with peak boundary-layer mixing across New Mexico, especially. Single-digit RH is probable over much of the region increasing to around 15% around the fringes of the risk area. The deepening surface low will help to enhance surface winds to 20-30 mph. Locally extremely critical conditions may occur, particularly in southern New Mexico border where the mid-level jet will be. However, ERCs are only near the 50th percentile which should limit more extreme fire behavior. Elevated conditions will extend both westward and eastward where weaker winds and marginal fuels will limit critical fire weather, respectively. ..Wendt.. 04/06/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$