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FNUS38 KWNS 062043

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0341 PM CDT MON APR 06 2026



VALID TIME 081200Z - 141200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



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FNUS28 KWNS 062043

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0341 PM CDT Mon Apr 06 2026



Valid 081200Z - 141200Z



An upper-level trough will be progressing eastward along the

Canadian border with the base of the jet over the northern Plains on

Day 3/Wednesday. A cutoff upper-level low approaches the California

coast simultaneously on Day 3/Wednesday. However, it's not until Day

5/Friday into Day 6/Saturday that the center of the low finally

moves onshore as a result of another trough moving across the

northern Pacific. By Day 7/Sunday, this upper-level low also cuts

off, sending the first cutoff low northeastward across the Great

Plains and Midwest by Day 8/Monday. This scenario is likely to

result in multiple days of precipitation across much of the western

and central US, which would temporarily dampen fire weather threats.

Sporadic areas of little to no precipitation will be possible, but

difficult to pin point due to the highly dynamic pattern.



...Southeast (Day 3/Wednesday)...

With surface high pressure still to the north over the eastern Great

Lakes, continued offshore flow will likely contribute to at least

elevated fire weather conditions across eastern Georgia and southern

South Carolina. This regime will result in northeast 10-15 mph winds

combined with RHs down to 25-35% during the peak heating period.



...Southern Plains (Day 3/Wednesday and Day 7/Sunday)...

Another day of tightened surface pressure gradient supports

south-southwest winds up to 15 mph and RHs down to 10-15% over

portions of the southern High Plains on Day 3/Wednesday. Much of

this region is favored for accumulating precipitation as the

aforementioned low pressure system ejects eastward across the

central portions of the CONUS next weekend. However, the latest

forecast guidance indicates that some locations may struggle to

accumulate much rainfall. If this trend holds true, future areas of

critical probabilities may be needed as the forecast becomes more

clear.



...Great Basin/Southwest (Day 3/Wednesday through Day 5/Friday)...

The best chances for sporadic fire weather conditions under the

southerly flow will occur on Day 3/Wednesday through Day 5/Friday

across areas of the eastern Great Basin and Southwest. However,

recent cooler weather, precipitation, and resultant questionably

receptive fuels will preclude any probabilities at this time. While

this event could promote a brief period of drier fuel conditions

across this region, additional precipitation also appears likely

with the aforementioned low pressure system later in the week.



..Stearns.. 04/06/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$