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FNUS21 KWNS 011624

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1023 AM CST Fri Mar 01 2024



Valid 011700Z - 021200Z



...NO CRITICAL AREAS...



The previous forecast remains on track. Recent precipitation

accumulations across the TX Panhandle vicinity will limit

wildfire-spread potential today to some degree. However, the

anticipated dry and breezy conditions this afternoon will encourage

the priming of fuels, which may support significant wildfire-spread

potential this weekend.



..Squitieri.. 03/01/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0209 AM CST Fri Mar 01 2024/



...Synopsis...

Preceding a large-scale trough moving ashore over the West Coast,

strengthening west-southwesterly midlevel flow will impinge on the

Rockies, favoring a deepening lee trough over the High Plains. This

pattern will favor a few areas of dry/breezy conditions along the

High Plains during the afternoon. Over portions of eastern WY into

western SD/NE, a belt of breezy west-southwesterly surface winds

will develop along the southern periphery of a weak lee cyclone, and

these winds could briefly overlap 20-30 percent afternoon RH. While

locally elevated conditions are possible here, the overlap of breezy

winds and low RH appears too brief/marginal for highlights given

marginally receptive fuels. 



Farther south, breezy/gusty westerly surface winds are expected to

coincide with 10-15 percent minimum RH along the central and

southern High Plains. For the central High Plains, locally elevated

conditions are possible along the I-25 corridor (especially in the

gap-flow areas), though these conditions should remain too localized

for Elevated highlights. From eastern NM into West TX, a larger area

of Elevated meteorological conditions are expected, though recent

measurable snowfall should mitigate the fire-weather threat in the

short-term -- precluding highlights at this time.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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