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FNUS22 KWNS 020810

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0209 AM CST Sat Mar 02 2024



Valid 031200Z - 041200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND

SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...



...Synopsis...

A belt of strong midlevel westerly flow will persist across the

central/southern Rockies and adjacent Plains on D2/Sunday, with the

primary embedded speed maximum expected to cross the CO Rockies

during the afternoon. This will yield lee cyclogenesis over eastern

CO/western KS, with an associated tight surface pressure gradient

developing across much of the central and southern High Plains.

Similar to D1/Saturday, this pattern will favor an expansive area of

warm, dry, and windy conditions over receptive fuels -- with

elevated to critical fire-weather conditions expected. 



...Central and Southern High Plains...

In response to the tightening surface pressure gradient and deep

boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft, an expansive

area of 20-25 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds (with

higher gusts) are expected across much of the central and southern

High Plains. Here, continued downslope warming/drying and deep

mixing will contribute to 10-15 percent minimum RH. Slightly cooler

temperatures and higher RH are expected along the I-25 corridor,

though gusts upwards of 60 mph and receptive fuels should compensate

for this. While guidance suggests a slight minimum in the strong

sustained surface winds over parts of the TX South Plains, low RH

and breezy/gusty surface winds should still favor near-critical to

critical conditions.



..Weinman.. 03/02/2024



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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