####018000442#### FNUS38 KWNS 112147 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0445 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2026 VALID TIME 131200Z - 191200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... D3 37690423 38540434 38820371 38880294 38610214 38370184 38070096 37420083 36980107 36580178 36040287 35830365 36100425 36770430 37330414 37690423 && ####018003229#### FNUS28 KWNS 112147 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 Valid 131200Z - 191200Z ...Synopsis... An active upper-level troughing pattern is expected across much of the western and central CONUS next week bringing increasing opportunities for precipitation to portions of the Intermountain West, the Great Plains, Midwest and Northeast. Largely dry conditions will continue across the Southeast under persistent ridging aloft, but light winds should limit a broader fire weather threat across the region where drought continues to expand. A fire weather threat will likely be sustained this through at least Day 5/Wednesday across sections of the Southwest and central/southern High Plains where rainfall is minimized and dry and breezy conditions under enhanced southwest flow aloft continues. ...Day 3/Monday... ...Central/Southern Plains and Southwest... Broad southwest flow ahead of an eastward advancing upper-level trough across the Great Basin will overspread much of Southwest and central U.S. on Day 3/Monday. Farther east, an evolving surface low across SD/NE with enhanced southwest flow aloft will support dry and breezy conditions amid a well-mixed, dry boundary layer across much of the central and southern High Plains. Minimal preceding rainfall and remaining receptive fuels should support an enhanced fire weather threat across the region. Latest model guidance has shifted a 500 mb jet max slightly southward over northeastern NM into the TX/OK Panhandles, with critical fire weather conditions more likely to develop across this region. As such, the 70% critical area has been modified based on this updated model guidance. ...Mid-Atlantic... A dry return flow pattern emerges early next week across the Mid-Atlantic as a surface low translates northeastward into Ontario. In response, increased pressure gradients should allow for increasing south/southwest winds amid relative humidity as low as 20% across portions of NC and VA. 40% critical probabilities have been introduced amid very dry fuels. ...Day 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday... ...Central and Southern Plains... A mid-level jet enters the Southern Plains Day 4/Tuesday in association with a progressive trough across the West. Downslope enhanced west/southwest winds behind a dry line should bring at least elevated fire weather concerns to much of the southern and central Plains by Tuesday afternoon. Some uncertainty remains in expected extent and magnitude of rainfall through tonight across the Southern Plains, with a potential introduction of 70% critical probabilities possible in future forecast updates if significant rainfall fails to materialize. The dry, downslope regime continues into Day 5/Wednesday with fire weather concerns more focused across southeastern NM into West TX on the tail of the departing mid-level jet. 40% critical probabilities have been added for portions of southeastern NM and West TX for this expected fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 04/11/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$