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FNUS21 KWNS 051755

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1154 AM CST Tue Mar 05 2024



Valid 051700Z - 061200Z



The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes

or additions made.



..Squitieri.. 03/05/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Tue Mar 05 2024/



...Synopsis...

Embedded within a belt of strong midlevel westerly flow, a

low-amplitude shortwave trough will track eastward across parts of

SD and NE early in the period. At the same time, an attendant weak

surface cyclone will move eastward across SD. Along the southern

periphery of this feature, a modest pressure gradient and

boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will yield 15-20

mph sustained westerly surface winds (with higher gusts) across

parts of northern NE and southern SD. While these winds will peak in

the morning, they will likely overlap diurnally decreasing afternoon

RH values of 15-20 percent for a couple hours. Given receptive fuels

across the area, a brief period of elevated fire-weather conditions

is expected.



Farther south, moderate downslope flow off the southern Rockies will

favor 15 percent afternoon RH across the southern High Plains.

However, surface winds should remain too weak for an appreciable

fire-weather risk.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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