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FNUS21 KWNS 111701

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook RESENT 1

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1201 PM CDT Mon Mar 11 2024



Valid 111700Z - 121200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN WYOMING INTO FAR SOUTHWEST

SOUTH DAKOTA AND THE NORTHWEST NEBRASKA PANHANDLE...

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE

TX/OK PANHANDLES...MUCH OF CENTRAL/WEST-CENTRAL KANSAS...AND EASTERN

NEBRASKA...



Expanded the Critical area into eastern Nebraska based on morning

high resolution guidance showing sustained winds up to 25 mph and

relative humidity in the teens. In addition, expanded the Elevated

area slightly farther east into Iowa and southwest Minnesota.



..Bentley.. 03/11/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1255 AM CDT Mon Mar 11 2024/



...Synopsis...

A mid-level shortwave will move into the Great Basin on Monday, with

westerly flow increasing across the Rockies and strengthening lee

troughing across the Plains. This will result in strong downslope

warming and drying across the central and south-central Plains. Two

regions of Critical fire weather conditions are expected, with more

widespread Elevated fire weather concerns across much of the central

High Plains into the southern High Plains.



...Eastern Wyoming into far southwest South Dakota and the northwest

Nebraska Panhandle...

Westerly downslope flow (sustained around 20-25 mph) across the high

terrain in eastern Wyoming and southwestern South Dakota will allow

to relative-humidity reductions around 15-20 percent (locally as low

as 10 percent). Rainfall deficits over the last month have led to

fine fuels sufficiently dry to support fire spread. As such, a

Critical delineation was maintained in this region.



...Far northeast New Mexico into the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles and

much of central/west-central Kansas...

Westerly downslope flow (sustained at 20-25 mph) across eastern New

Mexico into the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles will result in

relative-humidity reductions to around 10-15 percent. Early spring

green up of fine fuels, which were subsequently cured by recent

freezing temperatures, has led to large fire activity in the last

month across these regions. A Critical delineation was maintained

across this region. 



Critical conditions will extend into portions of western and

west-central Kansas where afternoon relative-humidity reductions to

around 15-20 percent will overlap sustained winds around 15-20 mph).

Fuel guidance suggests that fine fuels in this region will are

sufficiently dry enough to support fire spread.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...