####018001906#### FNUS21 KWNS 031520 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0919 AM CST Mon Feb 03 2025 Valid 031700Z - 041200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced for portions of western/central NV. Recent surface observations show leeward winds off the central Sierra Nevada strengthening to 15-25 mph with RH values falling into the upper single digits and teens due to downslope warming/drying. These conditions are expected to become more widespread through the afternoon as winds increase to 20-30 mph across much of central NV. Critical fire weather conditions appear probable, but recent fuel guidance suggests fuels are generally not supportive of rapid fire spread. For this reason, a Critical risk delineation was withheld, but the Elevated risk area denotes the most probable corridor of critical wind/RH conditions. See the previous discussion below for details pertaining to the fire weather potential across the remainder of the country. ..Moore.. 02/03/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CST Mon Feb 03 2025/ ...Synopsis... Zonal flow will largely continue across the US. The upper-level flow will gradually amplify as short-wave ridging develops over the central US. Flow aloft will intensify as broad troughing builds over the Southwest. Gusty winds and dry conditions will be possible near a lee trough across the High Plains and over the northern Great Basin supporting some localized fire-weather potential. However, the large-scale overlap of strong winds, low humidity and receptive fuels appears limited. Further drying of short-hour fuels could support some localized fire-weather risk across parts of eastern NM and west TX, but more widespread fire-weather concerns are not currently expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$