####018002397#### FNUS22 KWNS 061924 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0123 PM CST Thu Feb 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW MEXICO INTO THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE... Widespread dry and windy conditions are still anticipated during the day tomorrow (Friday) for far eastern Arizona into much of New Mexico and far western Texas. Elevated and Critical highlights have been expanded to areas where the latest guidance consensus has trended drier and windier. Critical conditions (25+ mph sustained westerly winds amid 10 percent RH) are expected to be widespread along the lee of the Sangre de Cristo mountains into the western TX Panhandle. However, at least brief bouts of Critical conditions may be expected along the lee of Sacramento and Guadalupe mountains in southern New Mexico, as well as parts of western New Mexico, by afternoon peak heating. ..Squitieri.. 02/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CST Thu Feb 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Westerly mid-level flow will continue over the CONUS D2/Friday as a more prominent shortwave and attendant jet streak approach the Southwest. In response to the approach of the upper trough, a lee cyclone will intensify over the High Plains, supporting strong winds and low humidity. The persistent dry conditions, exacerbated by downslope winds and low humidity, will support widespread elevated to critical fire-weather conditions. ...Southwest and Southern High Plains... Another day of dry and windy conditions is expected across parts of the Southwest and High Plains D2/Friday. As the mid-level jet and shortwave cross the Rockies, enhanced lee cyclogensis will support strong west/southwesterly winds of 20-30 mph across eastern AZ, much of NM and parts of western TX/OK. Continued warm temperatures and dry downslope trajectories will support afternoon RH values in the teens to single digits. The combination of strong westerly winds, low humidity and worsening fuels suggest widespread elevated to critical fire-weather conditions are likely. The most likely area for sustained critical concerns is expected across parts of the High Plains in northeastern NM and the TX Panhandle. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$