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FNUS22 KWNS 121917

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0216 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2024



Valid 131200Z - 141200Z



...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO

WESTERN OKLAHOMA...

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...



...Wildfire Outbreak Possible...



An Extremely Critical fire weather area has been added for portions

of the Texas Panhandle into western Oklahoma. This region will be

where the strongest mid-level flow overspreads a deeply mixed

atmosphere. As a result, sustained winds of 30 mph are expected with

gusts of 50+ mph. In addition, relative humidity is expected to be

in the single digits. 



Extensive fuel loading is present in the region and will support

large fire spread. In addition, the latest fuel guidance indicates

fuels have dried even further since the wildfire outbreak at the end

of February with daily ERC values likely above the 95th percentile

for the date by tomorrow afternoon.



..Bentley.. 03/12/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Tue Mar 12 2024/



...Synopsis...

A belt of enhanced westerly mid-level flow will round the western US

longwave trough on Wednesday before overspreading the Rocky

Mountains and the central Plains. Lee cyclogenesis will occur across

the central high Plains, with a surface dryline extending from

central Kansas southward into western/central Texas. Elevated to

Critical fire weather conditions are expected behind the surface

dryline, where strong westerly flow is expected to overlap low

afternoon relative humidity.



Across southeastern New Mexico into western Texas and northward into

western Oklahoma, relative-humidity reductions to 10-20 percent will

overlap surface winds around 20-25 mph (locally as high as 30 mph).

Latest fuel guidance indicates fuels within this region remain

critically dry, which will support inclusion of a Critical risk.

Recent fire activity also supports the notion that fuels within this

area remain critically dry.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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