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FNUS22 KWNS 211849

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0149 PM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024



Valid 221200Z - 231200Z



The previous forecast remains generally on track with adjustments

made based on trends in latest guidance. Localized elevated

conditions remain possible Friday afternoon - mainly for wind prone

locations in the vicinity of terrain features. See the previous

discussion below for additional details.



..Moore.. 03/21/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0135 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024/



...Synopsis...

Elevated fire-weather conditions are possible on Friday afternoon

across portions of West TX. Elsewhere, a progressive weather pattern

and associated widespread precipitation -- along with a trailing

cold front and milder conditions -- will temper any fire-weather

threat.



...West TX...

In the wake of an ejecting, mid-level trough, modest

west-northwesterly flow is forecast over eastern NM and West TX.

This will lead to dry, downsloping flow and deepening, well-mixed

boundary layers across West TX. Critical-level relative humidities

(10-15 percent) are possible across the region by mid-afternoon.

Given a lack of more robust cyclone development, surface wind speeds

are expected to be more tempered around 10-15 mph. Parts of the

region also recently experienced some wetting precipitation, but

this was relatively limited (around 0.1 inches) and localized in

nature. Given forecast ERCs in the 70-80th percentiles and generally

persistent dry and windy conditions, Elevated fire-weather

conditions appear possible in the delineated area Friday afternoon.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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