####018002149#### FNUS22 KWNS 111901 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS-PECOS... A few minor changes were made to the Elevated and Critical areas for Wednesday. Although sustained wind speeds are expected to exceed critical thresholds across portions of the Upper Trans-Pecos and Guadalupe Mountains (20 to 40 mph respectively), relative humidity should generally remain near 25-35 percent. Therefore, the Critical area was trimmed back slightly from its northwestern extent. To the east across portions the Permian Basin, westerly winds exceeding 20 mph will combine with decreasing RH into the teens by Wednesday afternoon. The Elevated area was extended eastward to accommodate these aforementioned conditions, although recent rainfall, less receptive fuels, and good RH recovery further east and south of here should limit the overall fire weather potential. Please see the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Barnes.. 02/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CST Tue Feb 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... An amplified midlevel trough accompanied by strong westerly flow aloft will overspread the southern Rockies/Plains. At the same time, a related surface low will linger over the southern High Plains ahead of an approaching cold front. ...TX Trans-Pecos... A modest pressure gradient peripheral to the surface low, coupled with boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will favor 20-30 mph sustained westerly surface winds (with higher gusts) across southern NM into west TX. Over the TX Trans-Pecos, these winds will combine with 15 percent afternoon RH, and given at least modestly receptive fuels, critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/breezy conditions will extend farther east into portions of central TX, though preceding rainfall atop already marginal fuels should limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$