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FNUS22 KWNS 140811

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0210 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026



Valid 151200Z - 161200Z



...Synopsis...

As the initial upper trough over the East moves offshore, flow aloft

will turn more northwesterly ahead of a second potent upper trough

moving south out of Canada. A strong jet streak and reinforcing cold

front will approach from the north bolstering strong surface winds.

With dry conditions already in place, the strong winds will likely

support increasing fire-weather potential Thursday.



...Central and southern High Plains...

Ahead of the second shortwave, lee troughing will promote stronger

westerly downslope surface flow over parts of the central High

Plains Thursday. With a dry air mass in place behind the prior cold

front, bolstered by downsloping, afternoon RH values of 15-20% are

expected. Surface winds of 20-30 mph overlapped with the low

humidity will likely favor sustained elevated fire-weather

conditions for several hours given very dry fine fuels over parts of

Northeast CO, western NE and northwestern KS.



A couple of hours of near-critical fire-weather concerns are also

possible across the region Thursday afternoon. While the strongest

gusts (30-40 mph) will likely not overlap with the lowest humidity,

and some light precipitation is also expected D1/Wednesday

potentially briefly limiting the driest fuels. Still with strong

gusts in proximity to RH in the 20-30% range and fuels abnormally

dry, brief critical fire-weather conditions are possible.



Farther south, a similar, albeit slightly weaker, northwesterly flow

regime is expected over parts of the TX Panhandle and eastern NM.

Lee troughing will promote afternoon winds of 15-20 mph amid RH

below 20%. With dry fuels in place, several hours of enhanced

fire-weather conditions appear probable over parts of the southern

Plains Thursday afternoon.



...Southeast...

Very dry surface conditions are expected over the Southeast in the

wake of the strong frontal passage. While afternoon RH values will

likely be below 25%, much cooler surface temperatures and light

precipitation are also expected. This should mitigate fire-weather

concerns to some degree, though localized elevated conditions are

possible given the dry state of areas fuels and the overlap with

breezy offshore winds.



..Lyons.. 01/14/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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