####018001924####
FNUS21 KWNS 141452

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0851 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026



Valid 141700Z - 151200Z



No changes to the ongoing forecast.



..Wendt.. 01/14/2026



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0208 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026/



...Synopsis...

A broad upper trough over the eastern half of the US will rapidly

intensify today and tonight as it merges with a weak upper low over

the southern US. Strong northerly flow aloft will develop as a

surface old front moves southward over the Plains and central US.

Behind the front, strong north/northwesterly winds are likely over

parts of the Plains and eventually the Southeast. This, and

persistent dry conditions may support some elevated fire-weather

potential.



...Central TX...

As strong troughing deepens over the eastern US, a dry cold front

will sweep into the Southern Plains and south TX. Along and behind

the front, a strong surface pressure gradient will drive north winds

of 20-30 mph over much of the southern and central Plains. Although

RH reductions will be limited to around 30% with cooler temperatures

advecting southward, the strong winds and dry fine fuels should

still support an elevated fire risk across central TX.



Surface winds will slacken some with southward extent as the primary

front arrives later in the diurnal cycle across the Rio Grande

Valley and South TX. Drier surface conditions will likely support

afternoon RH minimums near 20-25%. While the arrival of the stronger

northerly winds will be ill timed, the lower RH and drier fuels

should also support some fire-weather risk into South TX through the

afternoon and first part of the evening. The Elevated area was

expanded to the southern border for a conditional risk for Elevated

conditions.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$