####018000433#### FNUS38 KWNS 082134 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0332 PM CST SUN DEC 08 2024 VALID TIME 101200Z - 161200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... D3 34391918 34691879 34791849 34721806 34481749 33611697 32861662 32681682 32971706 33511748 33961788 34191800 34161882 34211914 34391918 && ####018002209#### FNUS28 KWNS 082134 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0332 PM CST Sun Dec 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z ...Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday - Southern California... Large-scale trough amplification is forecast over the western CONUS on Monday. This in combination with an anonymously strong surface high pressure over the Intermountain West will tighten offshore pressure gradients across southern CA (LAX-DAG gradient peaking around -8 to -9 mb). This pattern will favor critical fire-weather conditions across portions of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties in southern CA, given increasingly dry/receptive fuels. Critical conditions are expected to increase in coverage late D2 - Monday and continue into late D3 Tuesday - D4 Wednesday. Pressure gradients are forecast to peak on D3 - Tuesday, and 70-percent Critical probabilities have been maintained with this outlook. The 40 percent region was expanded to include mountain zones in San Luis Obispo County. Areas of Extremely Critical conditions are likely Tuesday morning and afternoon where single digit humidity overlaps stronger winds (gusting 40 - 50 mph up to 60-70+ mph in the mountains) in favored downslope regions of the mountains and foothills in Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. Fire weather concerns will linger into D4 - Wednesday morning before gradients begin to gradually weaken through the day. Given the potential for a long period of Critical conditions prior and forecast for continued single digit humidity, a 40 percent delineation was maintained for continuance of this threat overnight Tuesday into the late morning Wednesday. As the western trough ejects across the Plains D3/Tuesday into D4 - Wednesday, periods of dry/windy conditions are expected across the High/Southern Plains, however, fuels do not appear supportive of large-fire potential at this time. ERC forecasts do indicate fuels will dry, particularly across western Texas into eastern New Mexico, but largely remain below Critical thresholds. ..Thornton.. 12/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$