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FNUS21 KWNS 210602

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0101 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024



Valid 211200Z - 221200Z



...Synopsis...

Mostly zonal mid-level flow will pervade the contiguous U.S. during

the day today. Associated surface cyclone development in the lee of

the Rockies could support Elevated fire-weather conditions this

afternoon in southeastern WY and the western NE Panhandle. Dry and

windy conditions are also possible across West TX, but any elevated

conditions are expected to be more localized.



...Southeastern WY and the western NE Panhandle...

A surface cyclone is expected to quickly deepen throughout the day

today in the lee of the Laramie Mountains in the NE Panhandle and

vicinity. The associated strengthening wind field will support dry,

downsloping conditions across the region. By peak heating,

widespread relative humidity reductions to 20-25 percent are

possible alongside sustained winds of around 15-25 mph. Current

guidance suggests a steadily drying fuelscape -- particularly for

1-10-h fuels -- that would support fire spread in the Elevated area.





...West TX...

Modest, westerly flow is forecast in West TX this afternoon in the

wake of an ejecting mid-level shortwave trough. This will yield

strengthening surface wind speeds, likely peaking around 15-20 mph

by mid-afternoon. This may contribute to some elevated fire-weather

conditions, but the overall threat will be tempered by humidity

reductions around 25-30 percent and some recent wetting

precipitation moving through the region.



..Flournoy.. 03/21/2024



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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