####018000271#### FNUS38 KWNS 162112 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0310 PM CST SUN FEB 16 2025 VALID TIME 181200Z - 241200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... && ####018001721#### FNUS28 KWNS 162112 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0310 PM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 181200Z - 241200Z The mid-level pattern this coming week should be dominated by a longwave trough over the eastern part of the US, resulting in a strong cold front pushing southward across the central US on D3/Tuesday. Ahead of this front, across portions of the southwest US, some dry, windy conditions may be present on Tuesday afternoon with surface heating mixing down stronger westerly winds from aloft in the presence of reasonably dry fuels (ERCs in the 75th to 90th percentile range). As such, have maintained the 40% area across portions of southeastern Arizona, southern New Mexico, and western Texas. Behind the aforementioned strong cold front, an arctic air mass will become entrenched across the central and southern High Plains, which should largely confine fire weather concerns to the elevated terrain of southwestern US for the remainder of the period. A mid-level shortwave trough passage later in the week may provide the impetus for further fire weather concerns on D5/Thursday and especially D6/Friday, with dry and windy conditions possible both days across portions of New Mexico and Arizona. No precipitation is expected for the duration of the period, so fuels in this region should continue to be receptive to fire spread. However, lack of confidence whether the strength of the surface flow will rise to critical thresholds on either day precludes the introduction of probabilities at this time. ..Supinie.. 02/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$