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FNUS22 KWNS 281848

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0147 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024



Valid 291200Z - 301200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...



...19z Update...

Added critical area for parts of eastern NM. Confidence has

increased that more widespread winds of 20-25 mph will overlap with

RH below 10% for several hours Friday afternoon. While some

uncertainty regarding fuel states remains, drying today and delayed

green up in fine fuels west of the Caprock should support some

critical fire-weather risk across parts of eastern NM and

potentially the TX Panhandle. Elsewhere, southwest surface winds and

low humidity should support widespread elevated fire-weather

potential over much of the southern High Plains and into southern

CO. See the previous discussion for more information.



..Lyons.. 03/28/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024/



...Synopsis...

Surface cyclone development is expected across the southern High

Plains as a mid-level trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow

(Friday). Downslope flow will increase in the process, with much of

the southern High Plains experiencing widespread 10-15 percent RH

and 15-20 mph sustained westerly surface winds by afternoon peak

heating. Given multiple days of dry and windy conditions, fine fuels

will continue to cure further, supporting at least widespread

"high-end" Elevated conditions, especially over eastern New Mexico

into western Texas. If fuel receptiveness increases at a greater

rate than currently anticipated, Critical highlights may be needed

in future outlooks.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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