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FNUS22 KWNS 291849

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0149 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024



Valid 301200Z - 311200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO THE

WESTERN TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...



The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor

adjustments/expansions were made based on the latest high-resolution

guidance consensus. 



In addition to the fire-weather risk over the southern High Plains,

a shortwave trough embedded in enhanced deep-layer westerly flow

will promote dry/breezy conditions from the Southeast into the

Mid-Atlantic states during the afternoon. While locally elevated

conditions are possible, substantial rainfall over much of the area

during the last week limits confidence in fuel receptiveness --

precluding Elevated highlights at this time.



..Weinman.. 03/29/2024



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1253 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024/



...Synopsis...

Mid-level flow will strengthen across the Southwest on Saturday as a

trough deepens and starts to shift east. This strong mid-level flow

will overspread a deeply mixed airmass across the southern High

Plains and result in surface winds of 20 to 25 mph and relative

humidity in the single digits. Dry and windy conditions on Friday

will dry fuels and increase fuel receptiveness by Saturday with all

fine fuels likely critically dry across portions of northeast New

Mexico into the western TX/OK Panhandles.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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