####018001535#### FNUS21 KWNS 131643 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Fri Dec 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z Dry and gusty conditions are possible in parts of southeast Arizona/southwest New Mexico where portions of the mid-level jet will enhance surface winds. The elevated area was expanded into these areas. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Wendt.. 12/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CST Fri Dec 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A progressive mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to traverse the southern Rockies today, reaching central NM by peak heating. In response to the arrival of the wave, a lee cyclone across east/southeast CO will deepen, intensifying westerly downslope surface winds over the southern High Plains and lee of the Rockies. Sustained winds of 20-25 mph (gusting to 35-40 mph) are possible, given deep mixing and the approach of a 45-55 knot mid-level jet. The downslope trajectories, deep mixing and mild temperatures will support afternoon RH values of 12-15%. Despite several hours of elevated to critical meteorological conditions, the main limiting factor appears to be the lack of critically dry fuels. With seasonal ERC values of 60-80%, area fuels should be capable of supporting some elevated fire-weather risk, though conditions do not appear favorable for more widespread critical concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$