####018002792####
FNUS28 KWNS 082100

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0358 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025



Valid 101200Z - 161200Z



Subtropical ridging over the western US will gradually shift

eastward as it begin to break down. At the same time, southwesterly

flow aloft returns to the western US early this week. Dry downslope

flow will be possible over the Northwest along with the potential

for a few thunderstorms with passing embedded perturbations. This

could support an increase in the fire-weather risk next week.



...Northwest...

Periodic dry and breezy conditions are likely over the Northwest,

particularly the lee of the Cascades, D3/Tuesday into next weekend.

While model guidance varies on the intensity, occasional

downslope/gap winds nearing critical criteria are possible. Current

ensemble and model consensus suggest the strongest gusts (15-25 mph)

are most likely D5/Thursday and beyond as stronger troughing builds

over the West. This could result in some elevated to locally

critical fire-weather conditions as area live fuels are expected to

dry. However, confidence in exactly where or how robust this overlap

will be precludes any 40% areas for now. Periodic dry and breezy

conditions should continue into the weekend with at least some

localized fire-weather risk.



...Great Basin...

Similar to the Northwest, increasing flow aloft is likely over the

Great Basin and Southwest beginning the middle of next week. As

winds aloft increase, several days of dry and breezy conditions are

likely. However, there appears to be limited overlap of the best

meteorological conditions with the driest fuels. Uncertainty

currently remains too large to introduce probabilities at this time.

As model consensus develops and area fuels dry, some risk for

elevated fire-weather conditions may develop across portions of Utah

and Nevada.



...Dry Thunderstorms...

As troughing deepens across the west next week, several shortwave

perturbations will pass over the western US increasing potential for

thunderstorms. Very isolated storms appear possible D3/Tuesday

primarily across southern OR. Greater coverage is more likely

D4/Wednesday and D5/Thursday as more robust troughing and deeper

moisture arrive. This could support some isolated dry thunderstorms

potential, though details on convective coverage and fuel

availability remain unclear.



Additional storms are possible late in the week into the weekend.

This could again support some lightning potential across WA and OR,

but model variance is very high and confidence in any specific risk

areas low.



..Lyons.. 06/08/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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####018000271####
FNUS38 KWNS 082100

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0358 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2025



VALID TIME 101200Z - 161200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



&&