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FNUS21 KWNS 040801

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0200 AM CST Thu Mar 04 2021



Valid 041200Z - 051200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH

PLAINS....



...Synopsis...

Critical fire weather conditions are expected in portions of the

southern High Plains today.



...Southern High Plains...

A closed mid-level low will move eastward across the southern

Rockies today. Lee cyclogenesis is expected to begin in southeast

Colorado early today before the surface low shifts southeastward

into the Texas Panhandle by evening. As this pressure gradient

tightens, winds are expected to increase to 20 to 30 mph across much

of the southern High Plains. The strongest winds will be from

southeast New Mexico into the western Texas Panhandle and eastern

New Mexico where the pressure gradient will be strongest and where

strong mid-level flow amid deep mixing will transport stronger winds

to the surface. Some breezy southeasterly conditions are expected

across Oklahoma and Kansas, but higher relative humidity and fuel

moisture will mitigate the overall fire weather threat in these

areas.



...North Carolina...

Dry and breezy downslope flow is expected in the lee of the

Appalachians today. The strongest winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected

in North Carolina where relative humidity is also forecast to drop

to 18 to 20 percent. Similar downslope flow scenarios and

Wednesday's observed relative humidity suggests relative humidity

may be even lower than this forecast. However, despite these dry and

breezy conditions expected, fuels are still somewhat moist in the

region. Coordination with local NWS offices suggests another day or

two of drying may be sufficient to support large fire spread, but at

this time, fuels are not supportive and therefore, no elevated

delineation has been added.



..Bentley.. 03/04/2021



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$