####018001701####
FNUS28 KWNS 012056

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0354 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024



Valid 031200Z - 091200Z



A large-scale upper-level trough will be positioned over the central

CONUS on D3/Wed, with a high amplitude ridge positioned over the

West. By D4/Thu another upper-level trough will enter the West Coast

while the general upper-level pattern shifts east. Strong mid-level

flow associated with this trough will begin overspreading the

southern/central CONUS by D5/Fri and persist through D7/Sun.

Thereafter, evolution of the upper-level pattern becomes more

uncertain.



D5/Fri - D7/Sun: Southern/Central High Plains:

Medium-range guidance continues to depict agreement in the potential

for multiple days of wide-spread fire-weather conditions across the

Southern/Central High Plains and adjacent regions. The

aforementioned strong southwesterly mid-level flow should persist

atop boundary layer conditions that are well-mixed. This will

promote sustained winds exceeding 20 mph and RH values falling below

15% each day. Fuels are presently at least marginally receptive to

large-fire spread, with ERC values exceeding 90% in at least

localized areas of the region.



For this outlook, the 40% and 70% probabilities have been maintained

on D5/Fri and D6/Sat, and 40% probabilities have been introduced for

the region on D7/Sun. These delineations have been confined to the

most probable areas for critical fire-weather potential based on

depictions/spread in the medium-range guidance.



..Karstens.. 04/01/2024



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$

####018000712####
FNUS38 KWNS 012056

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0354 PM CDT MON APR 01 2024



VALID TIME 031200Z - 091200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



D5     38090420 38910428 39960417 40370384 40560324 40500275

       40240233 39620217 38520216 37820239 37570286 37550353

       37680398 38090420

D5     33320473 34430476 35500444 35930410 36010360 35920317

       35570296 34440298 33700301 33170336 33010391 33040448

       33320473

D6     33650499 34440475 35060440 35500388 35510324 35230285

       34650283 33960297 33110343 32830394 32850464 33250499

       33650499

&&