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FNUS21 KWNS 071531

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0930 AM CST Sat Mar 07 2026



Valid 071700Z - 081200Z



The previous forecast (see below) remains on track.



..Squitieri.. 03/07/2026



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0110 AM CST Sat Mar 07 2026/



...Synopsis...

Early-morning surface observations show a strong cold front pushing

east through the Midwest and southeast across the Plains. This

feature is expected to continue pushing east/southeast through today

as cool temperatures and high pressure follow in its wake. A

combination of cool temperatures, recent rainfall, and widespread

rain chances today from the OH Valley into the lower MS Valley will

limit fire weather concerns for most locations east of the Rockies,

though localized fire weather potential is noted across parts of the

northern High Plains. 



...Northern High Plains...

A clipper low traversing the Canadian Prairies will support

strengthening west/northwest gradient winds through the late

afternoon. Wind speeds upwards of 15-25 mph are expected and may

coincide with RH reductions into the 15-25% range within the

downslope flow regime across central to eastern WY. Fire weather

concerns will most likely be focused across far east-central WY into

adjacent portions of NE and SD where ERC values are near seasonal

highs and limited precipitation has fallen over the past 72 hours

per MRMS estimates. 



...Southern California Coast...

Early-morning water-vapor imagery depicts an upper low over the

lower CO River Valley. This feature will continue to settle

southward into northwest Mexico as northeasterly mid-level winds

strengthen over southern CA. A combination of strong mid to

upper-level offshore flow coupled with a moderate offshore pressure

gradient (LAX-DAG gradient forecast to be around -5 mb) will support

east/northeast winds of 15-25 mph (gusting to 35-45 mph at times)

today through early Sunday morning. While confidence in these winds

is fairly high due to strong agreement among deterministic and

ensemble solutions, latest fuels analyses suggest that fuels remain

unsupportive of fire spread.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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