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FNUS22 KWNS 261747

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1246 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025



Valid 271200Z - 281200Z



An Elevated fire weather risk area has been introduced for much of

the CO Front Range into far southeast Wyoming. Latest forecast

guidance has trended towards stronger winds for Monday morning

through afternoon along eastern Slopes of the Rockies in the wake of

an early-morning frontal passage. Most deterministic solutions,

including the typically weaker ECMWF solutions, suggest sustained

winds between 15-25 mph are likely with frequent gusts as high as

40-50 mph possible in the immediate lee of the Front Range. Despite

an influx of cooler air, downslope drying should still promote areas

of 15-25% RH coincident with strong winds, and recent fuel analyses

place ERC values generally between the 60-80th percentile. While not

overly dry, dry soil moisture conditions hint that finer fuels may

support fire spread. Similar wind/RH conditions are possible further

south into northern New Mexico, but less receptive fuels should

limit fire concerns. Other forecast concerns regarding southern

California remain on track as per the previous discussion below.



..Moore.. 10/26/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1254 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025/



...Synopsis...

An upper-level ridge will build into the West as a trough digs into

the northern/central Plains on Monday. Surface high pressure will

become more prominent west of the Divide while a cold front will

progress eastward through parts of the Plains.



...Central High Plains...

With a lee trough deepening in the High Plains and strong mid-level

winds moving across the central Rockies, areas of strong downslope

winds are possible (15-20 mph with higher speeds in wind-prone

areas). Mid/high-level clouds will be prevalent and the degree of RH

reductions are not certain. Locally elevated conditions are

expected. Given the uncertainty in afternoon RH and relatively

limited fuel receptiveness, no highlights will be added.



...Southern California...

With the surface high building into the West, an offshore pressure

gradient should begin to intensify through the day. The strongest

winds would likely be very late Monday into Tuesday morning.

Confidence in the strongest winds coinciding with the lowest RH is

low. Furthermore, fuels are not sufficiently dry to support a

substantial fire weather threat.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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