####018002217####
FNUS28 KWNS 282145

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0443 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024



Valid 301200Z - 051200Z



Zonal flow aloft will quickly amplify ahead of a Pacific trough

forecast to move onshore this weekend. Strong southwesterly flow

will overspread the Southwest and southern high Plains, deepening a

surface low over the southern Rockies. Strong surface winds are

expected over much of the southern Plains along with an increasingly

warm and dry air mass. As the upper-level system moves east, strong

winds and lower RH will continue into early next week before a cold

front moves south. Critical fire-weather concerns appear likely this

weekend and early next week.



...Southern High Plains...

Critical fire-weather conditions appear likely this weekend and into

early next week as the main wave of the aforementioned Pacific

trough moves over the southern Plains. Accompanied by a powerful

80-100 kt mid-level jet streak, strong lee cyclogenesis is expected

over southeastern CO. The enhanced flow aloft and strong low-level

pressure gradient will help drive 25-35 mph sustained surface winds

across parts of the TX Panhandle, eastern NM and western OK. Dry

downslope winds and warm temperatures behind a dryline/lee trough

should also support widespread humidity values below 15%. The

overlap of strong winds and several hours of hot and dry surface

conditions will be favorable for widespread critical fire-weather

concerns, especially D5/Sun.



Fire-weather concerns will likely continue into D6/Mon as the upper

trough and surface low move to the east. Confidence on the coverage

and duration of critical fire-weather concerns is lower owing to

uncertainty on a potential frontal passage. However, gusty winds and

lower humidity still appear likely over southern portions of the TX

Panhandle into southeastern NM and west TX. Through the remainder of

next week, fire-weather concerns appear much lower as the cold front

is forecast to move southeastward ushering in a colder air mass.



..Lyons.. 03/28/2024



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$

####018000451####
FNUS38 KWNS 282145

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0443 PM CDT THU MAR 28 2024



VALID TIME 301200Z - 051200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



D4     32710594 35440501 36210457 37550343 37650274 37390211

       36770175 34650244 33350303 32030315 31210304 30910307

       30380344 30340414 30630485 31510567 32710594

&&