####018000820####
FNUS38 KWNS 022202

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0500 PM CDT TUE APR 02 2024



VALID TIME 041200Z - 101200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



D4     33580517 34660480 36040454 37110448 38590445 39900433

       40230400 40400311 40160250 39340215 38400217 37170223

       36030268 34370282 33530302 32830345 32670407 32720470

       33060511 33580517

D5     32430519 33440498 34470482 35130456 35700425 36670285

       36760198 36550085 36120053 34790020 32840048 32260118

       31380341 31290395 31200454 31240497 31710518 32430519

D6     33880340 33870439 33970499 34120529 34530548 35010534

       35190506 35090399 35020333 34840274 34370249 33980275

       33880340

&&

####018002046####
FNUS28 KWNS 022202

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024



Valid 041200Z - 101200Z



A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected

across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days

4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly

supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the

region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected

across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday;

however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather

concerns here.



...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains...

Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern

High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level

trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south

corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring

critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the

mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the

central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel

west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over

the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions

behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High

Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across

the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer

westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the

front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical

fire-weather conditions over parts of the area.



Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High

Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel

trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at

this time -- precluding Critical probabilities.



..Weinman.. 04/02/2024



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$