####018004033#### FNUS28 KWNS 102213 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0511 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z ...Synopsis... On Day 3/Sunday, an upper-level low is forecast to move onshore in northern California as an upper-level ridge strengthens over the central and eastern CONUS. A lee-surface low ejects off the Rockies on Day 4/Monday, slowly shifting across the Midwest and Great Lakes region by Day 6/Wednesday. This scenario is likely to result in multiple days of precipitation across the West and from Texas through the Great Lakes, which would temporarily dampen fire weather threats. Continued upper-level ridging through Day 5/Tuesday across the eastern CONUS will promote above normal temperatures and drying conditions for much of the region, though increased chances of precipitation may return towards the end of next week as the upper trough shifts east. ...Ohio River Valley - Day 3/Sunday... Increasing potential for 10-15 mph southerly winds and 30-40 percent RH will present fire weather concerns across northeastern AR into portions of the Ohio River Valley. Given recently observed widespread ERCs above the 90th percentile and low fine fuel moisture, 40 percent probabilities for Critical fire weather have been maintained. The expanse of the drawn area may be adjusted in future outlooks as guidance evolves the northward extent of gulf moisture advection. ...Central/Southern Plains and Southwest - Day 3/Sunday through Day 4/Monday... Fire weather conditions return on Day 3/Sunday as an amplified upper trough moves into the West and an associated shortwave traverses the High Plains. Dry southwesterly flow and strong winds will overlap portions of the Southwest that have not seen recent appreciable rainfall, thus 40 percent probabilities of Critical fire weather conditions have been introduced to the region. Wedged between a surface low to the north and lee surface troughing to the south, strong westerly winds and low RH atop recently receptive fuels will promote fire weather concerns across the upper central Plains. Farther south in CO, the foothills and plains east of the Rockies will experience a mix of downslope and dry return flow. Strong west-southwesterly winds and critically low RH support fire weather conditions, and will likely precondition finer fuels for a continued fire weather threat over the next few days. 40 percent probabilities of Critical fire weather have been introduced to account for this threat. Beneath the large upper trough, tight surface pressure gradients Day 4/Monday will further enhance dry and windy conditions behind the dryline in the central/southern High Plains. Despite precipitation forecast earlier in the forecast period across eastern NM and the TX Panhandle, accelerated drying on Day 3/Sunday will likely precondition the fire environment by decreasing fine fuel moisture, escalating broader fire weather concerns. Recent lightning across portions of these areas may see the emergence of holdovers and growth on existing fires given expected dry/windy conditions. 40 percent probabilities of Critical fire weather have been maintained to account for these concerns. A smaller area of 70 percent probabilities for Critical fire weather conditions was introduced on Day 4/Monday for southeastern CO to account for an overlap of stronger winds and lower RH. ...Southern Plains and portions of the Southwest - Day 5/Tuesday... As the large scale trough shifts east and lee cyclogenesis occurs east of the Rockies, gusty surface winds will continue over a dry airmass in the southern Plains and parts of the Southwest. Given multiple days of fire weather conditions over the area, 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. ..Elizalde-Garcia/Nauslar.. 04/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ ####018000424#### FNUS38 KWNS 102213 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0511 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026 VALID TIME 121200Z - 181200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... D4 38650446 39040410 39190350 39100269 38830191 38400130 37960112 37570121 37190149 37030187 37070325 37350392 37710438 38650446 &&