####018000271#### FNUS38 KWNS 262024 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0222 PM CST THU DEC 26 2024 VALID TIME 281200Z - 031200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... && ####018002094#### FNUS28 KWNS 262024 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CST Thu Dec 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level troughs will progress across the CONUS into the middle of next week before an upper ridge begins to build over the Interior West. Multiple surface lows will develop across the Plains and track eastward toward the East Coast before High Pressure overspreads the CONUS by the end of the period. Through the extended period, cool conditions across the northern U.S., and ample precipitation accumulations from central California into the Northwest, as well as the southern/central Plains to the East Coast, will mitigate significant wildfire-spread concerns. Dry and breezy conditions are likely into the weekend over the southern High Plains, before a surface low rapidly deepens over the central Plains on Day 5/Monday, which will encourage Critically dry and windy conditions over the southern High Plains. Given preceding dry days with no appreciable rainfall accumulations, fine fuels may dry out enough by Monday to support some wildfire-spread potential, with 40 percent Critical probabilities introduced. By the middle of next week, surface high pressure will become well-established over the Great Basin, which may support the development of a modest pressure gradient over southern California. Medium-range guidance consensus depicts dry low-level air with some offshore component of flow. The strength of the pressure gradient and associated offshore wind speeds do not appear strong enough to support Critical probabilities at this time. However, probabilities may be needed in future outlooks if model guidance trends stronger with the surface winds. It is also plausible that terrain-influences may locally augment surface winds and the subsequent need for Elevated highlights by the Days 1-2 time frame for next Tuesday-Thursday. ..Squitieri.. 12/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$