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FNUS51 KBUF 250533

FWFBUF



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York

National Weather Service Buffalo NY

133 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024



.DISCUSSION...

Canadian high pressure will build southeastward across our area 

through Thursday...before slowly drifting to the New England 

coastline Friday. The high will guarantee us fair dry weather 

through Friday...with below normal temperatures through Thursday 

night followed by a return to somewhat above average readings on 

Friday as a southeasterly return flow of milder air overspreads our 

region. The warming trend will then continue over the weekend and 

into early next week...resulting in summerlike warmth across our 

region both Sunday and Monday. While there will also be some showers 

and thunderstorms around, particularly during Saturday...a fair 

amount of dry time can also be expected.



NYZ201-250800-

Lake Ontario Plains-

133 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024



                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud cover                     Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear

Precip chc (%)                      0            0            0            0

Precip type                      None         None         None         None

Min/Max Temp                       21           50           24           62

AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var

PM Wind (mph)                                 N  7      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip duration                                                             

Precip begin                                                                

Precip end                                                                  

Max/Min Humidity (%)               99           20           94           25

Haines Index                        4            5            5            5

LAL                                 1            1            1            1

Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         6940           10         8670

Transport wind (kt)             NE 10         N  7         N  8         S  7

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 700        48580           80        60690

Dispersion Index                    1           49            0           61

Remarks...None.



$$



NYZ200-250800-

Southern Tier-

133 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024



                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud cover                     Clear        Clear        Clear       Mclear

Precip chc (%)                      0            0            0            0

Precip type                      None         None         None         None

Min/Max Temp                       23           52           24           62

AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SE  5

PM Wind (mph)                                NE  6        NE  5        SE  7

Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip duration                                                             

Precip begin                                                                

Precip end                                                                  

Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           20           85           25

Haines Index                        4            5            5            5

LAL                                 1            1            1            1

Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         7700           70         8310

Transport wind (kt)             NE  8         N  5        NE  9         S 11

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 560        38500          630        91410

Dispersion Index                    1           38            1           91

Remarks...None.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. 

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the

upper 50s. 

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Warmer. Lows in

the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. 

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid

50s. Highs in the mid 70s. 

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. 

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the

upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. 



WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Northeast around 5 mph. 

WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 15 mph. 

WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 10 mph. 

WIND MONDAY...East around 5 mph. 

WIND TUESDAY...South 5 to 10 mph. 

WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 10 mph. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.



$$