####018004016#### FNUS73 KMPX 241127 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Bradshaw WMA...MnDNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 627 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...For the Bradshaw WMA Burn, skies will be mostly sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from west to east midday. This will allow highs today to be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity values forecasted to be in the low 60s this morning before dropping into the mid-low 30s by the afternoon. Winds will generally be southeasterly at 5-10 MPH. Smoke plume may impact residences immediately north of the burn site. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Temperature.........38 at ignition...Max 59. RH..................67 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor /12200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good /33300 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph shifting to the south around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR PC PC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............38 42 46 49 52 55 57 57 59 58 58 54 RH..............67 57 51 48 44 41 38 37 34 34 36 41 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.10 9 9 8 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.2 4.7 5.3 5.5 5.4 5.4 3.1 0.5 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SE Transp wind spd.9 9 8 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 Haines index....3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Temperature.........Min 41. RH..................Max 62 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (32200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (3100 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 9 to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Temperature.........Max 66. RH..................Min 32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (88500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 23 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Dunleavy Requested by...Kevin Freking Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412160.0/MPX .DELDT 04/24/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL kevin.freking@state.mn.us