####018008007#### FNUS74 KMEG 251221 FWSMEG Spot Forecast for Kelly Rx...Tennessee Division of Forestry National Weather Service Memphis TN 721 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 25. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Minimum relative humidity will drop to near 30 percent this afternoon, as light northeast winds prevail. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). CWR.................10 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........33 percent. Dewpoint............43. Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming northeast around 5 mph early in the afternoon becoming light. Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL. Mixing height (MSL).1100-4400 ft MSL. Mixing height (m)...335-1341 meters AGL. Transport winds.....East 5 to 8 mph. Transport winds m/s.East 2 to 4 meters/second. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft). Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........19 27 22 34 49 45 54 76 80 83 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 Temp............51 56 61 64 67 70 71 72 72 71 Dewpoint........44 45 45 44 43 42 42 41 42 43 RH..............77 66 56 48 42 36 35 33 34 36 20 FT wind dir..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 2 20 FT wind gust.8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.1 3.4 Mx ht msl (kft).1.1 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.1 3.4 Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.0 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E NE NE Transp wind spd.8 6 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 Trans wind dir..E E E E E E E E NE NE Trans spd (m/s).4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers overnight. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 3 am. CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent overnight, then increasing to 30 percent overnight increasing to 40 percent overnight increasing to 50 percent decreasing to 40 percent after 3 am. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 55. Max humidity........83 percent. Dewpoint............47 increasing to 50 early in the morning. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the southeast 5 to 7 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Mixing height (MSL).400-1600 ft MSL. Mixing height (m)...122-488 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east 9 to 10 mph overnight. Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 2 meters/second shifting to the east around 4 meters/second late in the evening. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400 knot-ft). Rainfall amount.....0.09 inches. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........87 89 92 89 92 93 95 95 90 92 91 90 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 40 40 Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 40 40 Temp............70 69 65 63 62 61 60 59 57 57 57 56 Dewpoint........45 47 47 48 47 47 47 48 49 49 49 50 RH..............41 45 52 58 58 60 62 67 75 75 75 80 20 FT wind dir..N N NE NE E E SE SE SE SE E SE 20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 8 7 7 8 8 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 Mx ht msl (kft).1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.5 6 7 9 10 10 9 10 10 10 9 10 Trans wind dir..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E Trans spd (m/s).2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms early in the morning. Slight chance of rain showers in the morning. CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 81. Min humidity........49 percent. Dewpoint............53 increasing to 58 in the late morning and afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 18 mph shifting to the south with gusts to around 18 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL. Mixing height (MSL).500-4000 ft MSL. Mixing height (m)...152-1219 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph shifting to the south 16 to 23 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 10 meters/second. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft). Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........90 71 59 64 Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC CWR.............30 20 20 10 Chc of pcpn (%).30 20 20 10 Temp............57 62 73 79 Dewpoint........51 55 59 59 RH..............80 78 60 51 20 FT wind......SE 7G10 SE 9G14 S 12G17 S 12G18 Mix hgt (ft)....500 1000 2500 3800 Mx ht msl (ft)..500 1000 2500 3800 Mix hgt (m).....150 300 760 1160 Transport wind..E 10 S 17 S 17 S 22 Tran wind (m/s).E 4 S 8 S 8 S 10 Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 2 6 12 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR $$ Forecaster...Baker Requested by...Burn Boss Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412424.0/MEG .DELDT 04/25/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL James.edward.moore@tn.gov