####018003856#### FNUS73 KMPX 050021 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Leif Mountains Central...The Nature Conservancy National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 721 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Sunny skies, lower humidity, and winds becoming south 5-10 mph are expected Sunday. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Temperature.........52 at ignition...Max 67. RH..................66 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise South winds 5 to 9 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor /4300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good /53900 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 6 to 12 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM Sky cover.......CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............52 55 58 60 61 63 65 67 67 65 64 61 RH..............66 59 51 46 42 39 37 34 36 40 43 48 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 9 8 20 FT wind gust.8 9 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 2.8 4.4 4.9 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.1 2.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S SE Transp wind spd.6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 12 13 13 12 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Temperature.........Min 46. RH..................Max 80 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (55900 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (4600 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 71. RH..................Min 54 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 13 to 22 mph increasing to 23 to 25 mph with gusts to around 37 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (106100 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (96200 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 25 mph increasing to 29 to 36 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Borghoff Requested by...Ben Carlson Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413166.0/MPX .DELDT 05/04/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL benjamin.carlson@tnc.org