####018008680#### FNUS71 KGYX 131204 FWSGYX Spot Forecast for ECTC PPSOW5, DAOF1 &2...NH Dept Of Military Affairs National Weather Service Gray ME 804 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 13. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (207) 688-3224, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Partly cloudy skies are expected this morning with very light northerly winds. Winds shift southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by noon with relative humidities falling to between 35 and 40 percent this afternoon as cloud cover increases. Any shower chances are expected to hold off until after 7pm. Good humidity recovery is expected tonight with mostly cloudy skies and a few showers. Warmer and somewhat more humid conditions are expected for the day on Tuesday under partly cloudy skies with a wetting rain arriving Tuesday night. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 69. Min humidity........39 percent. Dewpoint............42. Max apparent temp...67. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the southwest 3 to 10 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the south around 13 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (57800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. ADI.................14 increasing to 48. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........36 36 36 67 67 67 67 67 67 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............52 57 61 63 65 67 67 67 67 Dewpoint........43 42 42 41 41 41 42 42 43 RH..............71 57 49 44 41 39 40 40 42 Aparnt tmp (F)..52 57 61 63 65 67 67 67 67 20 FT wind dir..W SW S S S S S SE SE 20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 3 3 5 6 6 7 20 FT wind gust.3 3 5 6 8 9 10 13 14 Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 3.6 5.3 6.1 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.1 5.3 Transp wind dir.NW W SW SW SW SW S S S Transp wind spd.3 3 3 6 6 7 9 10 13 LVORI...........4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............10 17 27 38 51 45 44 48 49 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 11 16 30 33 41 55 55 58 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the evening, then chance of rain showers in the late evening and overnight. CWR.................9 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 50. Max humidity........93 percent. Dewpoint............45 increasing to 49 overnight. Max apparent temp...64. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (37200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (3200 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. ADI.................42 decreasing to 6. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth to or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........68 68 68 68 68 68 72 72 72 72 72 72 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............64 61 59 58 56 55 54 54 53 53 52 52 Dewpoint........43 44 45 46 47 47 48 49 50 50 50 50 RH..............46 53 60 64 72 74 80 83 89 89 93 93 Aparnt tmp (F)..64 61 59 58 56 55 54 54 53 53 52 52 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 14 12 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.S SE SE S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.13 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 ADI.............42 19 7 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 Haines index....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..37 8 6 5 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning and early afternoon, then chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. CWR.................9 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 78. Min humidity........45 percent. Dewpoint............52. Max apparent temp...76. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph early in the morning. Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph shifting to the southwest 21 to 23 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (76700 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (98100 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. LVORI...............5 early in the morning. ADI.................8 early in the morning. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth to or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........60 60 60 60 60 60 63 63 63 63 63 63 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............53 55 56 60 64 68 71 73 76 76 76 76 Dewpoint........51 51 52 52 52 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 RH..............93 86 86 75 65 59 53 49 45 45 45 45 Aparnt tmp (F)..53 55 56 60 64 68 71 73 76 76 76 76 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 20 FT wind gust.9 10 13 14 16 17 18 20 21 21 21 21 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.8 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.2 Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.9 12 12 12 14 15 16 18 21 22 23 22 LVORI...........5 5 M M M M M M M M M M ADI.............7 9 M M M M M M M M M M Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 11 12 15 26 36 51 77 107 109 106 98 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD VGD GD $$ Forecaster...ARNOTT Requested by...zachary Boyajian, Wildland Fire Program manager Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413921.0/GYX .DELDT 05/13/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL zachary.l.boyajian.nfg@army.mil