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FNUS75 KMSO 251637

FWSMSO



Spot Forecast for ALDER DITCH

National Weather Service Missoula MT

1037 AM MDT Thu Apr 25 2024



Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 MDT on April 25. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...There may be a fair amount of cloud today but with

some breaks later on. Breezy, mild with higher RHs than yesterday. The

probabilities for rainfall increase by 6 am Friday and stay 

elevated through 2 pm. The statistical range for total rainfall 

Friday is from 0.05" to 0.16". Rainfall probabilities ramp up by 

midnight Friday night through Saturday morning. Winds will become

more northeasterly on Friday. I trended the RH down by 10% as I

think the NBM may be too moist. 



.REST OF TODAY...



* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. A few breaks of sun in the

  afternoon. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 

* Max Temperature.....60-64. 

* Min Humidity........32-36 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5-8 mph increasing to west-

  southwest 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.  

* Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl. 

* Mixing Winds........West-southwest 15 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 



.TONIGHT...



* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain by 6 am. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 

* Min Temperature.....43-47. 

* Max Humidity........66-71 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest 5-10 mph in the evening

  becoming downslope 3 to 5 mph.  

* Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in 

  the evening. 

* Mixing Winds........Northwest 6 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 



.FRIDAY...



* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain likely in the morning. Chance

  of rain showers in the afternoon. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...60 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent. 

* Max Temperature.....52-57. 

* Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph becoming northeast 5 to 7

  mph. 

* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. 

* Mixing Winds........Northwest 5 mph becoming northeast 8 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.12 inches. 



$$

Forecaster...Noble

Requested by...ART TRAHAN

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2411737.4/MSO

.DELDT 04/25/24

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL jack.currie@cskt.org